Beneath the surface of XRP’s current market structure lies what many analysts see as a coiled spring. While price action may appear muted, technical indicators suggest that a significant move could be developing. History has shown that XRP’s major rallies often begin when sentiment is at its lowest—precisely the kind of environment traders are witnessing today.
Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has once again drawn attention to XRP’s long-term technical picture, arguing that the charts are revealing a massive opportunity few are seeing.
His latest analysis, shared on X, merges Elliott Wave Theory with the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Ribbon on the monthly chart—two tools that have historically pinpointed the start of explosive XRP uptrends.
Wave 4 Consolidation: The Calm Before the Next Impulse
According to Egrag, XRP is currently completing its Wave 4 correction, a common pause following the powerful Wave 3 advance. In Elliott Wave Theory, Wave 4 typically retraces about 23.6% to 38.2% of Wave 3, representing a consolidation phase before the next major surge—Wave 5.
Egrag’s calculations show that Wave 3 extended from around $1.40 to $3.65, and by applying a 1.618 Fibonacci extension, the projected Wave 5 target lands near $7.29. This aligns with the broader $7–$8 target zone, which Egrag describes as consistent with a “macro secular bullish count.”
In this framework, XRP’s current cycle would mark only the beginning of a much larger, long-term trend.
#XRP – EMA Ribbon Massive Indication: ($8 – $20 – $27) :
⚪️Trust In TA:
I know many of you cannot see it but TA and Numbers is stating it bluntly.Let me represent Chart based on the EMA Ribbon
⚪️Acknowledging Your Concerns:
But first, I want to say my DM is flooded. I’ve… pic.twitter.com/zldKRMx6up— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) October 18, 2025
The EMA Ribbon: Historical Indicator of Parabolic Moves
Beyond the wave structure, Egrag highlights the EMA Ribbon on XRP’s monthly chart as a key signal for timing major moves. The EMA Ribbon, a cluster of exponential moving averages, acts as a dynamic zone of support and resistance.
Historically, every major XRP rally—such as those seen in 2017 and 2021—began shortly after the price dipped into the EMA Ribbon. Egrag points out that XRP has recently touched this region once again, suggesting the setup for another upward expansion.
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By comparing previous cycles, he identifies potential measured move targets:
Around $8, if the 2021 pattern repeats.
Around $27, if the 2017 cycle mirrors again.
The average between these two is approximately $20, forming what Egrag calls the “macro target band.”
Market Sentiment and Trader Psychology
Egrag also acknowledges the growing anxiety within the XRP community. He notes that his inbox has been flooded with messages from traders worried about the recent dip. Yet, he emphasizes that such emotions are typical during Wave 4 corrections, which often mislead traders into premature selling before the next bullish phase begins.
His message is clear: trust the technicals, not the fear. Historically, when traders capitulated near the EMA Ribbon, those moments turned out to be prime accumulation opportunities.
The Broader Outlook
As of mid-October 2025, XRP trades near the $2 mark, well below the targets suggested by the Elliott Wave and EMA Ribbon models. Still, technical confidence among analysts like Egrag reflects a broader belief that XRP remains structurally bullish.
If the Wave 5 scenario unfolds as projected, XRP could be gearing toward one of its most significant price expansions since 2017.
However, traders should remain mindful of macroeconomic conditions and manage risk accordingly—because while technicals provide probabilities, not certainties, the alignment of XRP’s EMA and wave structure may be signaling a pivotal moment ahead.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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