Crypto analyst Austin Hilton turned his attention to XRP, raising a question many investors were asking. Was the recent price weakness a temporary pause, or the start of something deeper? His assessment covered both the technical picture and a cluster of macroeconomic events that could determine the answer.
Two Months of Consolidation
XRP has spent roughly two months consolidating since the late August breakout. Hilton pointed to a clear pattern on the daily chart. The asset has repeatedly bounced off the same bottom resistance level over the past six weeks. That level held multiple times, though XRP briefly dropped to $1.24 before recovering above resistance.
Hilton stated that XRP is “potentially at a make-or-break moment from the chart standpoint.” The bounce pattern is notable, but XRP breaking through support, even temporarily, gives him reason for caution.
Is XRP at a make-or-break moment? pic.twitter.com/nboSWosv9G
— Austin Hilton (@austinahilton) October 13, 2026
The Macro Calendar
Hilton did not limit his analysis to XRP’s chart. He tied the asset’s near-term direction directly to a series of economic data releases and Federal Reserve commentary. Jobs and housing data came out the day he made his video. A weak reading often raises recession fears, and a strong reading raises fears of further rate hikes. Either outcome creates pressure on risk assets.
The CPI report was due the following day. The expected reading was 3.6%. The CPI measures inflation at the consumer level. Hilton noted that a print below 3.6%, say 3.4%, would be a positive signal. A reading of 3.7% or 3.8% would give the Federal Reserve more ammunition to raise that base interest rate, hitting both stocks and crypto.
The PPI report, due the day after, measures inflation at the manufacturing level. Hilton expects it could run hot, citing elevated diesel and petroleum costs that raise expenses across logistics and supply chains. He also notes that commentary from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh carries its own risk. A hawkish tone, he says, could push markets lower.
Markets Await Clarity
Hilton’s core position is that the market is betting on a Fed pause. That consensus could shift quickly. The cumulative effect of sustained inflation has made investors cautious. Hilton observed that people are choosing to sit out of investing entirely, waiting to see what the next data release would bring.
For XRP specifically, Hilton said deeper declines remain possible if the incoming data is disappointing. The chart structure held, but the economic data remains the deciding factor.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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