The latest analysis from crypto analyst Egrag Crypto focuses on a key technical indicator that could determine XRP’s next major rally.
While many investors remain concerned about XRP’s weakening momentum on higher time frames, Egrag argues that the current behavior of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) may actually be consistent with the conditions that often appear before major market reversals.
In a post on X, Egrag highlighted the XRP monthly RSI, noting that it remains in what he described as a “free fall.” Despite the apparent weakness, he suggested that this phase should not automatically be interpreted as a sign of continued long-term decline. Instead, he pointed to historical market behavior that often emerges near major bear market bottoms.
#XRP – Monthly RSI In Free Fall… But That’s Exactly How Macro Bottoms Begin 🚨
This is what many fail to understand about #RSI structure on higher time frames.
At major bear market bottoms:
✅ Price often prints a LOWER LOW
while
✅#RSI begins forming a HIGHER LOW
✅That… pic.twitter.com/tS5b95nQqi— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) June 6, 2026
Understanding the RSI Structure
According to Egrag, one of the most misunderstood aspects of technical analysis involves RSI structures on higher time frames. He explained that during major bear market lows, price action and momentum indicators do not always move in the same direction.
In many cases, the asset’s price can continue falling and even establish a lower low. At the same time, the RSI may begin forming a higher low. This difference between price action and momentum creates what analysts term a hidden bullish divergence.
Egrag emphasized that this type of divergence has historically appeared during periods when markets transition from prolonged weakness into broader recovery phases. In his view, these formations often serve as early signs that a macro reversal could be developing.
The Importance of the 44 RSI Level
A major part of Egrag’s analysis centers on the monthly RSI level of 44. He stated that XRP has not yet reclaimed this threshold, making it one of the most important levels to monitor in the coming months.
According to the analyst, the distinction between bearish continuation and a renewed bull market may depend on whether XRP can regain and hold this RSI level. He argued that reclaiming 44 would provide stronger evidence that market momentum is shifting in favor of buyers rather than sellers.
Until that occurs, Egrag believes investors should remain focused on the evolving RSI structure rather than reacting solely to short-term price fluctuations.
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What Egrag Expects Next
Looking ahead, Egrag said he expects one final period of weakness before a larger move develops. He suggested that XRP could experience an emotional price flush, a move that may shake confidence among market participants.
However, he expects the monthly RSI to begin stabilizing during that process. If momentum starts forming the higher-low structure he is watching for, the divergence needed to support a larger macro reversal could gradually emerge.
Egrag concluded his analysis by emphasizing the importance of market structure over emotional reactions. In his view, fear often accompanies market bottoms, but confirmation comes when technical indicators begin showing divergence between weakening price action and strengthening momentum. For XRP holders, he believes the coming months could reveal whether that process is beginning to take shape on the monthly chart.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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