XRP continues to follow a long-observed market structure outlined by crypto analyst ChartNerd (@ChartNerdTA). He believes the asset remains on course for a move toward the middle regression band of the Gaussian Channel near $0.87.
In a recent post, the analyst wrote, “We’re mapping this move perfectly thus far,” while noting that XRP is still “patiently waiting” to return to the middle regression band. The analysis comes as XRP trades below a major regression level that has repeatedly played an important role during previous market cycles.
Historical Structure Returns to Focus
ChartNerd’s chart tracks XRP’s monthly price action from 2014 through the current cycle. Two key trend lines dominate the analysis. The white line represents the Upper Regression Channel, currently located around $1.35. The green line represents the Middle Regression Channel, currently near $0.84 to $0.87.
The chart highlights several previous periods where XRP lost support at the Gaussian Channel’s upper regression band before declining toward the middle regression band. These events occurred in 2016, 2019, and 2022. In each case, XRP eventually reached the middle regression level after losing the upper band. According to the chart, the same sequence appears to be developing again.
We're mapping this move perfectly thus far while still patiently waiting for $XRP to come home to the middle regression band 🏡
Upper Regression ($1.35) = LOST
Middle Regression ($0.87) = IN WAITThe time to be fearful has passed. The land of opportunitiy has arrived #NFA https://t.co/KJXtjWKtNb pic.twitter.com/mYxJdkRvHg
— 🇬🇧 ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) June 23, 2026
Key Levels for XRP
The analyst identifies the Upper Regression level at approximately $1.35. XRP currently trades below that line, which places focus on the middle regression area. The chart lists the Middle Regression Channel at approximately $0.84, while the accompanying post references a target around $0.87.
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The highlighted region on the latest section of the chart sits between those levels, suggesting the analyst views that zone as the next destination if the historical pattern continues. Notably, the chart does not project a breakdown beyond the middle regression band. Finding support at that level, as it has done before, could lead to an explosive breakout.
Opportunity Zone Remains in View
The analyst also expressed confidence that the majority of the downside associated with this pattern may already be behind the market. “The time to be fearful has passed. The land of opportunity has arrived,” ChartNerd wrote.
He has previously set an $8 target for XRP based on a similar analysis. The chart suggests XRP remains in the final stages of a recurring retracement pattern that has appeared multiple times over the past decade. As long as the historical relationship between the upper and middle regression bands holds, traders will monitor the $0.84-$0.87 region closely.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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