XRP may still need one more reset before a larger breakout develops, according to crypto analyst ChartNerd (@ChartNerdTA).
In a recent post, the analyst pointed to a recurring structure on the asset’s monthly chart that has appeared before every major expansion phase.
The chart focuses on the Gaussian Channel, specifically the interaction between the upper regression and middle regression bands.
According to the analysis, XRP historically moved toward major breakout phases only after its price repeatedly created contact zones between the upper and middle Gaussian Channel bands. These currently sit near $1 and $0.70 on the chart.
If history is to repeat, $XRP will only break towards $8+ when it creates another range of contact between the upper & middle regression bands of the Gaussian Channel ($1/$0.70). Regardless of narratives then, or now, history has proven this factual from a technical perspective. pic.twitter.com/npwigpo8n7
— 🇬🇧 ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) May 20, 2026
Gaussian Channel Pattern Returns
The setup centers on a historical pattern that has repeated several times across XRP’s long-term cycle. The attached monthly chart highlights several periods dating back to 2014. In each case, XRP touched or moved above the upper Gaussian Channel band before returning to test the middle band.
After those retests were completed, XRP entered strong upward moves. The pattern first appeared after 2014’s XRP, leading to XRP’s 2017 rally. A similar structure developed again in 2020 and pushed XRP upward in 2021.
Another retest formed around 2021 before XRP stabilized again near the middle regression area. The rally came in 2024 when XRP surged by more than 500%. Each highlighted section on the chart follows the same sequence of upper band contact, then a move toward the mid-band support zone.
A Price Decline is Coming
The latest section of the chart shows XRP moving through another upper-band retest after its recent rally. The highlighted area places the middle Gaussian Channel support near $0.70, while the upper contact zone stays around $1. ChartNerd stated that “history has proven this fact from a technical perspective.”
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He expects the asset to hit the bottom of $0.70 between now and June. Following this retest, the asset could experience an explosive breakout.
XRP’s Next Steps
The chart projects another consolidation phase before a possible breakout. XRP previously formed trading ranges between the upper and middle Gaussian Channel bands before trending higher.
Attention now shifts to whether the asset will revisit the middle regression band before another expansion phase develops. The long-term structure on the chart places the next projected breakout region above $8 if the historical pattern repeats itself.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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