Crypto markets often move most decisively when price action appears calm. After weeks of volatility and anticipation, XRP has entered a critical technical phase that could determine its medium-term direction.
The asset has already cleared a long-standing resistance level, but the real test now lies in how the market responds to the ongoing pullback. Traders closely watch this zone because history shows that confirmation at this stage often separates failed breakouts from sustained rallies.
Recent XRP price behavior has revived interest in a classic continuation setup. According to prominent XRP technical analyst Egrag Crypto, the current XRP/USD chart reflects a textbook breakout–pullback–hammer structure that frequently appears during trend expansions.
His analysis focuses on XRP’s ability to hold newly reclaimed levels after breaking above key resistance, a process that often defines the strength of bullish momentum.
#XRP – Breakout → Pullback → Hammer… Then What?👀
The current structure looks very similar to the attached textbook pattern:
1️⃣ Breakout above major resistance (☑️ We need confirmation)
2️⃣ Pullback to retest the breakout zone (⏸️ Pending)
3️⃣ Bullish hammer candle forming… pic.twitter.com/4Nszo7D12B— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) January 12, 2026
Breakout Above Resistance Shifts Market Structure
XRP recently pushed above the $2.00 resistance level, a zone that had restricted upside moves for an extended period. This breakout signaled a change in market structure, as buyers demonstrated control above a psychologically important threshold.
As of report time, XRP trades near $2.08, maintaining a position above the former ceiling. However, sustainable trends rarely accelerate without pauses. Markets typically revisit breakout levels to confirm whether demand exists at higher prices.
XRP’s current pullback fits this pattern and does not yet suggest weakness. Instead, it reflects a natural retest phase that often precedes continuation when buyers step in.
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Hammer Formation Could Confirm Bullish Continuation
The next technical development remains critical. XRP has started forming a potential bullish hammer candle at the retest zone, signaling early signs of demand absorption. A confirmed hammer would indicate strong rejection of lower prices and reinforce the bullish breakout narrative.
Historical trading studies across volatile markets show that this structure resolves higher roughly 60–65% of the time once confirmation appears. Egrag Crypto also highlights a 25–30% probability that XRP enters a longer consolidation phase, allowing momentum to reset without damaging the broader uptrend. A deeper pullback remains statistically less likely unless key support fails.
Support Levels: Define Risk and Invalidation
Risk management centers on the $1.60–$1.40 region, which previously served as a consolidation base. A decisive breakdown below this zone on higher timeframes would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a failed breakout. As long as XRP holds above this area, the technical structure remains constructive.
Broader market context strengthens this outlook. XRP continues to benefit from improved sentiment following the resolution of its SEC case in 2025, which removed long-standing regulatory uncertainty. This backdrop supports consolidation or continuation scenarios over sharp downside moves.
XRP now stands at a technical inflection point where confirmation will determine the next trend phase. Price behavior at support will decide whether momentum resumes or pauses.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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