XRP has spent weeks in a tight range, and crypto analyst ChartNerd (@ChartNerdTA) has a clear read on what comes next.
He published a short-term bullish case for the asset, outlining two distinct scenarios depending on how price behaves around key weekly moving averages. The 50-week EMA sits at roughly $1.99, and ChartNerd says this level determines everything.
XRP is currently compressing between the 20-week and 50-week EMAs. The chart shows XRP trading around $1.46, pinched in a consolidation zone. He has presented both bullish and bearish scenarios in parallel for weeks, and the current setup has not resolved either way.
Context is important. Here is $XRP's short-term bullish case, and what i would expect if the bulls can reclaim the 50 week EMA and tag the $1.80/$2 pocket. I have showcased this scenario alongside other bearish thesis for weeks. Compression is not a result. It's a range. Lock in! pic.twitter.com/N1JZ2OGuMe
— 🇬🇧 ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) September 21, 2026
The Bullish Case: Reclaim the 50-Week EMA
If XRP reclaims the 50-week EMA, ChartNerd sees a push toward the $1.80/$2 zone. That level previously acted as support in early 2025 before price eventually lost it. Since losing it, XRP has not returned to retest it as resistance.
He views a tag of that zone as a short-term local top before a deeper retrace. Still, he sees it as a meaningful signal. Reaching that level would “signify a stronger potential of this bottom being the low.” The chart highlights this scenario with an upward arrow toward the 50-week EMA, showing the bullish path ChartNerd expects if bulls maintain control.
The Bearish Case: Losing the 20-Week EMA
The alternate scenario carries more downside risk. If XRP loses the 20-week EMA on consecutive weekly close basis, ChartNerd expects a significant shift lower. He puts the target at around $0.98, with the possibility of sweeping the current cycle low.
He ties this scenario to a historical parallel. Earlier in 2025, XRP compressed in a similar range before breaking down 25%. The setup today mirrors that structure. “We’re back in that range,” he noted, “waiting for the decisive break.”
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The chart shows the bearish path with a downward arrow toward the lower red zone near the 20-week EMA, with the -24.69% figure marked on the chart illustrating the scale of the potential move lower.
The 50-Week EMA is the Line
ChartNerd’s analysis places the entire short-term thesis on one level. The 50-week EMA is “the gatekeeper,” in his words. Break above it and bulls target $1.80/$1.90; lose the 20-week EMA, and bears target $0.98 or lower. XRP sits between those two outcomes, and the resolution is still pending.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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