XRP continues to trade below its monthly 20 EMA, the technical indicator that ChartNerd (@ChartNerd) highlighted in his January warning. The 20-month EMA stood near $1.91 at the time. On the latest chart, it sits around $1.54, while XRP trades near $1.04.
The difference reflects the scale of XRP’s decline since the start of the year. The chart also shows a 45.79% drop from the highlighted area near the EMA to the current price region.
January Warning Now Shapes the Chart
ChartNerd warned in January that XRP “must close above its monthly 20 EMA in January ($1.91).” He also noted that monthly closes below the indicator had historically signalled further declines after macro uptrends.
XRP failed to secure that monthly close above $1.91. The asset’s price subsequently moved lower, leaving the 20-month EMA above the market. The latest chart shows the indicator still sitting well above XRP. That keeps the monthly EMA as an important level for the next stage of the price action.
Never ignore the 20 month EMA..
Be it breaking above or below..
This is why.. $XRP 👇 https://t.co/WyEO8GfQ1j pic.twitter.com/QPo9lQHUIV
— 🇬🇧 ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) August 8, 2026
June Accelerated the Decline
XRP’s decline became much sharper in June. The chart shows a swift move lower, and much of this happened during the first part of the month. The selling pressure pushed XRP toward $1.04. After that decline, XRP began moving sideways near $1.04. Several recent monthly candles have remained compressed around this level.
The 20-month EMA, meanwhile, continues to slope lower. That gives traders two separate areas to watch as XRP develops its next move.
$1.54 Is the Key Level to Reclaim
The monthly 20 EMA currently sits near $1.54. XRP would need to recover this level to move back above the indicator that ChartNerd identified as critical in January. A monthly close above the EMA would mark a significant change from the current setup. It would put XRP back above its 20-month average after an extended period below it.
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— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025
Until that happens, the chart remains centered on the distance between XRP’s current price and the 20-month EMA. Some analysts have predicted that XRP will decline further before regaining momentum, and market participants are eager to see what direction it chooses.
XRP’s Next Test Is Clear
ChartNerd’s latest chart brings the focus back to the same indicator that featured in his January warning. XRP has remained above $1, holding that support for over 600 days. However, it needs to build momentum soon, or that support may fail.
A monthly close above the 20-month EMA would give the chart a significantly stronger technical structure. For now, the moving average remains the key level to watch.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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