XRP continues to trade within a price zone that has quietly defined its market behavior for more than a year. The chart now reflects a market that has already done most of its work beneath the surface.
This is the context behind the latest analysis from crypto analyst and developer Bird (@Bird_XRPL), who argues that a downside resolution no longer aligns with the structure shown.
His view centers on time, not momentum. XRP has spent over 13 months trading between two historically important levels. This extended consolidation has tested the patience and conviction of market participants. Markets rarely spend this long inside a clearly defined macro range without resolving in the direction of the dominant structure.
A simple reason I don’t see $XRP going lower
For over a year now, XRP has been trading between the 2017 ATH and the 2021 highs.
That range has been tested, defended, and respected for 13+ months whilst they've exhuasted us.
Breaking down from a range makes zero sense imo.… pic.twitter.com/xybxh3obe5
— Bird (@Bird_XRPL) January 8, 2026
A Range Defined by History
Bird points out that XRP has remained boxed between the 2018 and 2021 highs for more than a year. On the chart, that places resistance near $3.44 and support around $1.82. Both levels have now been tested multiple times on the monthly chart.
The asset briefly broke through the top resistance when it hit a new all-time high in July. It also fell below the bottom during a flash crash in October, but both moves were swift, and it quickly returned to the consolidation zone. Each dip toward support attracted buyers, and each push into resistance produced controlled rejection rather than collapse.
This type of behavior shows acceptance. The market recognizes these levels and respects them. That respect has now persisted long enough for a shift to occur.
Why the Structure Favors Expansion
From a structural standpoint, extended sideways movement absorbs supply and reduces weak positioning. It shifts ownership. As that process continues, the probability of a clean breakdown decreases.
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Bird summarized his stance clearly. “Breaking down from a range makes zero sense imo.” His reasoning is rooted in duration. The longer the price accumulates, the more energy builds for expansion.
The chart shows compression beneath resistance rather than rejection away from it. Highs have clustered. Pullbacks have shortened. That behavior often precedes resolution higher when support remains intact.
XRP still sits within this long-held range. The market has already proven where buyers step in. It has also shown where sellers respond. With time spent and volatility reduced, the next sustained move could carry significant weight. Bird’s conclusion is direct. A strong sideways structure “always ends up going up BIG time.”
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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