User sentiment data from the cryptocurrency exchange Gemini suggests that expectations for XRP’s year-end performance are largely centered on price stability rather than significant upside or downside movement.
According to the exchange, most respondents in its ongoing prediction market believe XRP will close 2025 within a narrow trading range between $1.50 and $2.00.
Gemini shared results from its XRP year-end pricing poll through a public post on X. The poll, which has been active since December 12, captures user forecasts for XRP’s closing price at the end of the calendar year. As participation increased, consensus around the $1.50–$2.00 range strengthened.
Growing Confidence in a Narrow Price Range
In its most recent update, Gemini reported that users initially assigned a 63% likelihood to XRP ending the year above $1.50 but not exceeding $2.00. As market conditions evolved, confidence in this outcome rose further.
At the time of reporting, 73% of participants favored this price band, indicating a growing belief that XRP will remain range-bound through year-end.
There's currently a 63% chance XRP ends the year between $1.50 and $2.00 pic.twitter.com/bCJ6fJuV6n
— Gemini (@Gemini) December 22, 2025
At the same time, expectations for higher closing prices have diminished. Earlier in the polling period, 38% of respondents projected a finish between $2.00 and $2.50. That share has since declined to 28%, signaling reduced optimism for a late-year breakout.
Predictions for more aggressive upside moves are even less common. Only a small fraction of users assigned probability to XRP closing between $2.50 and $3.00, and confidence in a finish above $3.00 remains minimal. Both scenarios currently carry estimated probabilities of roughly 4%.
Limited Expectations for a Major Downside Move
While the prevailing view favors stability, some participants anticipate further weakness. Gemini noted that a small portion of respondents expect XRP to end the year below $1.50. That figure has increased modestly, from 6% to 7%, following recent market-wide price pullbacks.
Despite this, downside expectations remain limited compared to the dominant view that XRP will hold within its current range.
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How Gemini Will Determine Results
Gemini also clarified how outcomes will be finalized once the prediction window closes. The poll is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2025, at 09:00 a.m. (GMT +1). XRP’s final price will be determined using the GRR-KAIKO_XRPUSD_8UTC benchmark provided by Kaiko.
For example, predictions tied to the $1.50–$2.00 range will be settled positively if XRP’s recorded price exceeds $1.50 and does not surpass $2.00 at the resolution time. The exchange stated that payouts will be issued no later than the following day.
With roughly one week remaining in the year, XRP is trading at approximately $1.88. Since mid-December, its price has fluctuated between $1.80 and $2.00, reinforcing expectations that it may remain within that corridor through year-end.
While this outlook contrasts sharply with XRP’s rally earlier in the year, when prices reached levels above $3.60, it reflects prevailing caution amid broader market uncertainty. Nonetheless, some participants continue to anticipate improved conditions beyond year-end, citing potential institutional activity and regulatory developments as longer-term factors.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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