XRP is once again drawing intense attention as it approaches a decisive technical level on its Bitcoin trading pair, a level that has capped its upside for over 3,000 days.
According to leading analyst Galaxy, the long-awaited XRP bull run hinges on one critical event: a confirmed breakout above this historical resistance line. Until that occurs, the explosive upside potential remains on hold.
A 3,000-Day Resistance That Refuses to Break
In a recent analysis shared on X, Galaxy illustrated that XRP/BTC is trading just below a descending trendline that stretches back to 2015. This multi-year resistance has consistently rejected every major attempt at a breakout, including notable runs in 2017, 2021, and 2024.
Now, after more than eight years and 216 biweekly candles, XRP is once again knocking on the door of this critical level.
$XRP is chilling under the +3000 days trendline on the BTC pair.
A breakout here is what we're looking for to start the bull-run we've been waiting. pic.twitter.com/g0U38FRySW
— Galaxy (@galaxyBTC) July 29, 2025
Galaxy’s chart suggests that a successful breakout above this trendline could serve as the official start of XRP’s next macro bull run. It’s a moment many XRP holders have anticipated for years.
However, Galaxy emphasizes that only a sustained breakout, with a confirmed close above the resistance on the weekly timeframe, will validate the move. Anything less could result in another sharp rejection.
As of report time, XRP is trading around 0.0000263 BTC, just beneath the upper boundary of this structure. The market is in a holding pattern, waiting for a definitive resolution.
XRP/USD Cools After July Highs
XRP’s current USD price action supports Galaxy’s broader technical outlook. After surging to a local high of $3.64 in mid-July, XRP has since cooled, now trading in a tight range between $3.09 and $3.17.
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XRP’s recent movement reflects consolidation after a strong rally. The correction began on July 24, when XRP dropped sharply from above $3.50 to $2.99 in a single day, triggered by profit-taking and liquidation cascades. Since then, XRP has stabilized, but has yet to show the kind of strength needed to ignite a renewed push higher.
The Key Condition Before XRP’s Breakout
Galaxy makes one thing clear: XRP’s breakout won’t be confirmed until the multi-year resistance on the BTC pair is decisively breached. This means a weekly candle must close above the trendline, followed by a continuation pattern, ideally with increasing volume and a higher high. Without this, the breakout remains a false signal.
Analysts warn that failure to break above the resistance could send XRP lower. Key support levels to watch are around $3.00, $2.95, and potentially $2.30, should sentiment weaken further or Bitcoin dominance continue to rise.
Final Thoughts
The technical setup is compelling. After nearly a decade of compression beneath the same resistance, XRP is now positioned for a potential breakout that could redefine its market trajectory. But Galaxy is clear, this breakout has not yet happened. It must be confirmed.
Until then, XRP remains in limbo, cooling after its July rally, gathering strength beneath a historic resistance. If that breakout does play out, it may finally unlock the bull run XRP holders have long been waiting for.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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