The cryptocurrency market has witnessed significant volatility recently, with XRP experiencing a price decline of 13.95% over the past month. XRP experienced a major correction following a retest of the key 50-day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) on April 22, leading to three consecutive days of losses for XRP. However, some analysts remain optimistic about the long-term prospects of the digital asset.
Good Morning Crypto (@AbsGMCrypto) believes XRP may be on the cusp of a significant price increase. He cites a trend identified by veteran analyst Tony Severino (@tonythebullBTC), who highlights the tightening of the Bollinger Bands on XRP’s monthly chart.
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The Bollinger Bands are a technical analysis tool to assess market volatility and identify potential price levels. They consist of a moving average flanked by two bands, with the distance between the bands reflecting volatility.
When the bands contract significantly, as they have for XRP, it often precedes a period of heightened volatility, historically leading to price breakouts in either direction.
Good Morning Crypto points to two prior instances where similar Bollinger Band contractions on the monthly chart preceded significant XRP price rallies.
In the first instance, between October 2016 and February 2017, XRP endured a multi-month downtrend, experiencing a decline of over 50%. However, following the contraction of the Bollinger Bands, XRP surged significantly, reaching its all-time high of $3.84 in January 2018.
The second instance occurred in 2020. As with the current situation, the Bollinger Bands for XRP tightened from February to October. This period was followed by a similar surge in volatility, leading to a price rally that peaked at $1.96 in April 2021.
Good Morning Crypto’s chart shows a potential target range for XRP between $13.08 and $17.10. Achieving this target would require a substantial increase from XRP’s current price of $0.5275.
Other analysts have shared targets of $1.2 to $1.8 and more for XRP, and many are questioning if the digital asset, which underperformed for most of 2023 and 2024, can reach these targets.
While the Bollinger Bands themselves do not predict the direction of future price movements, Good Morning Crypto, alongside other analysts interpret the current volatility contraction as a potential precursor to a price surge.
Positive on-chain signals suggesting increased investor activity and potential accumulation of XRP and whale activity in the ecosystem have bolstered the optimism of an XRP breakout.
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