Cryptocurrency markets often swing between fear and opportunity, and XRP is no exception. Long-term charts sometimes reveal patterns that hint at both short-term corrections and future rallies. Traders and investors alike are watching key technical levels closely, as timing and patience could determine who benefits most from the next move.
ChartNerd, in a recent analysis shared on X, examined XRP’s monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI), currently at 54. He drew parallels to past Q4 cycles, including 2016-2017, 2020, and 2024, where RSI dips to approximately 47 triggered rapid rallies toward overbought levels between 74 and 95.
According to ChartNerd, these historical patterns suggest that XRP may experience a short-term downside before preparing for a major bullish reversal.
$XRP: Monthly RSI Dynamic Shifts:
Previous Cycle Echoes ✅
Dynamic Trend Shift ✅
Approaching Reset Levels ✅
Pain For Both Sides Likely ✅
Rinse Repeat Scenarios ✅Patience Needed to Reap Rewards. pic.twitter.com/4mWRDqdtUQ
— 🇬🇧 ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) December 11, 2025
Historical RSI Patterns and Cycle Echoes
RSI is a widely used momentum indicator that measures overbought or oversold conditions. ChartNerd points out that XRP has historically followed a repeatable pattern: periods of consolidation and RSI resets often precede sharp upward momentum.
For example, in the 2017 cycle, a dip in RSI caused temporary pain for holders but set the stage for a powerful rally. Similar dynamics occurred during the 2020 and 2024 Q4 cycles, reinforcing the cyclical behavior of XRP.
Approaching Reset Levels
With the current RSI at 54, XRP appears to be approaching critical reset levels. ChartNerd predicts a potential short-term dip to RSI levels around 47-50, which could push prices toward $1.50-$1.90.
While this move may frustrate short-term holders, historical patterns indicate that such resets often prepare the market for stronger rallies. Patience during this phase is essential for traders and investors seeking to capitalize on the next wave.
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Dynamic Trend Shifts
Monthly RSI readings reflect ongoing trend shifts. ChartNerd highlights that after RSI resets, XRP frequently transitions from sideways consolidation to rapid upward moves. Recognizing these shifts is crucial for strategic positioning.
Traders who understand these cycles can navigate volatility while positioning for potential gains once bullish momentum returns.
Potential Bullish Reversal
If the predicted RSI reset aligns with historical trends, XRP could be primed for a substantial rally, possibly reaching double-digit levels. ChartNerd also notes the possibility of a bearish divergence similar to 2017, which may indicate a blow-off top.
This underscores the importance of disciplined risk management and monitoring key technical signals alongside broader market conditions.
Patience and Strategic Positioning
The main takeaway from ChartNerd’s analysis is patience. Temporary volatility is often a necessary precursor to sustained gains. Investors should anticipate short-term corrections while remaining alert for reversal signals. Careful observation, discipline, and strategic positioning could prove critical in navigating the next phase of XRP’s long-term cycle.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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