XRP’s price action is approaching a key technical juncture that could define its next major move. Across cryptocurrency markets, critical levels often indicate whether trends will continue or reverse, and XRP’s current position has traders and investors closely monitoring every candle.
Historical patterns suggest the coming weeks could be pivotal for both short-term momentum and long-term market structure.
Crypto analyst STEPH IS CRYPTO recently highlighted this development on X, emphasizing the importance of XRP’s 50-week simple moving average (SMA) in technical analysis. Steph notes that this SMA has consistently acted as a structural pivot, signaling major trend shifts across multiple market cycles.
🚨 $XRP is approaching a critical historical level.
On the weekly chart, the 50-week simple moving average has consistently marked major trend shifts. In 2018, 2022, 2024 and again in October 2025, losing this level signaled a change in market structure.
On October 10, 2025,… pic.twitter.com/p1Odo5g2wL
— STEPH IS CRYPTO (@Steph_iscrypto) January 4, 2026
Historical Significance of the 50-Week SMA
Steph explains that the 50-week SMA has repeatedly determined market direction for XRP. In 2018, 2022, 2024, and again in October 2025, losing this level coincided with major corrections and structural shifts.
Historically, reclaiming the SMA has signaled the resumption of bullish trends, making it a critical marker for traders using XRP technical analysis to guide decisions.
XRP’s Current Technical Position
On October 10, 2025, XRP fell below the 50-week SMA, which currently sits near $2.50. Steph predicts that XRP will likely retest this level in the coming days or weeks—a common behavior as markets attempt to validate key support or resistance zones.
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A weekly close above $2.50 would signal a structural shift and increase the probability that the broader bull market could resume.
Failure to reclaim this level would maintain bearish pressure, heightening the risk of continued downward momentum or extended consolidation. For XRP price prediction models, this SMA acts as a critical line between continuation and correction.
Implications for Traders and Investors
Steph advises traders and long-term holders to focus on weekly closes, volume trends, and price reactions around the 50-week SMA. Institutional participants often interpret reclaiming or losing such levels as signals for portfolio allocation or risk management, amplifying the potential market impact.
For anyone seeking actionable insights in XRP technical analysis, understanding the significance of the $2.50 SMA can guide decisions and set expectations for the next major trend. XRP’s behavior at this level may determine whether the cryptocurrency resumes its bullish trajectory or continues to consolidate, making it a crucial focal point in the current market cycle.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers should carry out in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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