Crypto analyst Steph Is Crypto (@Steph_iscrypto) published a new chart warning XRP investors. This message comes at a time when market conviction is fragile due to XRP’s lack of momentum.
The analyst shows that it has broken below its 3-day Gaussian Channel. He noted that past breaks were followed by “significantly more downside” and a long period of bearish price action.
He then asked a direct question. “Should we be worried?” The chart attached to his post anchors that concern in long-term market structure rather than short-term volatility.
$XRP has broken below its 3-day Gaussian Channel and historically, every breakdown has led to significantly more downside followed by a long stretch of bearish price action.
Should we be worried? 👇 pic.twitter.com/TJ6MUMwXJw
— STEPH IS CRYPTO (@Steph_iscrypto) December 13, 2025
What the Gaussian Channel Shows on the 3-Day Chart
The 3-day Gaussian Channel smooths price data to track trend direction and momentum over extended periods. On XRP’s chart, this indicator has marked major cycle transitions since 2014. Each historical breakdown below the channel coincided with a cooling phase after aggressive upside expansion.
The chart labels several breaks, such as in 2014, 2016, 2019, and 2022. In each case, XRP entered a prolonged consolidation or decline. These phases lasted months, sometimes years. The asset remained suppressed until the channel flattened and turned higher again. The current breakdown mirrors those earlier moments in structure and slope.
XRP now sits near $2.04 on the chart. The channel has rolled over, and the bands have widened. This signals rising volatility and weakening strength of the current trend. From a strict technical view, the setup supports caution.
Can This Structure Still Favor XRP?
The same chart also reveals a recurring pattern that often gets missed. Every bearish stretch that followed a Gaussian Channel breakdown eventually set the foundation for XRP’s strongest upside moves. The longest consolidations preceded the sharpest advances.
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After the 2016 to 2017 compression, XRP surged to its previous all-time high. Following the decline between 2019 and 2020, the asset rose to $1.96 in 2021. Many experts believe XRP would have hit another peak that year, but was suppressed by the Ripple lawsuit.
Risk Versus Positioning at This Stage
Steph did not predict a crash. He highlighted historical behavior. The chart suggests downside risk remains, but it also shows that these periods tend to reward patience rather than panic.
For XRP, a cooling phase near $2 after a strong multi-month advance differs materially from breakdowns that occurred near cycle lows. The asset now trades at a level that reflects stronger liquidity, broader access, and deeper market participation.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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