In cryptocurrency markets, prices often behave chaotically in the short term, creating a swirl of noise that distracts investors from the underlying structure. XRP’s recent retracement has reignited interest in long-term technical patterns, showing that disciplined observation of structural signals can reveal high-probability opportunities even amid volatility.
Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto highlighted the 21-month Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on XRP’s logarithmic chart as a recurring cycle indicator. Historically, price touches of this EMA have marked significant bottoms before multi-fold rallies, including the explosive bull runs of 2017 and 2021.
According to Egrag Crypto, the EMA serves as a structural anchor, emphasizing that trend behavior follows defined cycles rather than market hype.
#XRP – One MA. That’s the Signal.
I’ll keep it simple. This is an Exponential Moving Average , not a simple MA.
If you can identify which EMA it is, you’ll see the pattern repeating every cycle, including the current one.@egragcrypto Motto: "SHORT-TERM: When structure… pic.twitter.com/2lu4D3qmk6
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) February 19, 2026
Short-Term Signals: EMA as a Trend Guide
The 21-month EMA provides critical insight into XRP’s short-term price behavior. When XRP breaks below the EMA, the bias shifts toward consolidation or temporary weakness.
Conversely, reclaiming the EMA often signals a resumption of the prevailing uptrend, offering traders tactical entry points. Currently, XRP approaches this EMA after a -48% retracement from recent highs, testing it as potential support before attempting to resume its upward trajectory.
Multi-Stage Upside Targets for XRP
Egrag Crypto projects staged upside levels if XRP maintains support at the EMA. Short- to medium-term targets include $2.20 and $3.37, while a full-cycle multi-fold target reaches $13.
These projections align with historical patterns, where previous EMA touchpoints preceded strong rallies. Traders can use these levels as reference points to manage risk and plan strategic entries, reinforcing the value of structural analysis over reactive trading.
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Long-Term Perspective: Permabull Signal
The 21-month EMA also informs a long-term permabull outlook for XRP. Its recurring role as a cyclical bottom reinforces confidence in sustained upward potential.
By tracking this structural signal, investors can differentiate between temporary market noise and meaningful trend continuation, allowing for disciplined portfolio management across multiple cycles.
Structure Over Noise: Strategic Takeaways
Egrag Crypto’s focus on the EMA underscores a crucial principle: price respects defined structures, and ignoring them in favor of short-term hype can reduce opportunity.
Monitoring XRP’s interaction with the 21-month EMA provides clarity on trend direction, retracement risk, and multi-stage upside targets, equipping traders to navigate market cycles with confidence and discipline.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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