Crypto analyst STEPHISCRYPTO recently discussed a decisive period approaching for XRP.
In a video tweet, the analyst focused on timing and probability rather than speculation, outlining why the next two weeks may be critical for the XRP price trend.
His assessment relies on recurring historical patterns, sentiment indicators, and current market positioning, all of which he argues are aligning in a way previously associated with major moves.
IF YOU HOLD #XRP I GOT NEWS FOR YOU!!!
Watch asap! 👇https://t.co/LXZhDy3e2t pic.twitter.com/M1c3q0V9Lm
— STEPH IS CRYPTO (@Steph_iscrypto) December 17, 2025
Weekly Structure and Historical Precedent
A central part of the analysis examines XRP’s position relative to the 50-week simple moving average on the weekly chart. The analyst notes that XRP has once again fallen below this level, a condition that has repeatedly preceded strong recoveries in past cycles.
In 2018, 2021, and 2024, XRP remained below this moving average for several weeks before transitioning into sustained rallies. Those periods resulted in gains ranging from moderate to very large, depending on the cycle.
According to the analyst, XRP is now within the same time window that historically marked the end of prolonged downside phases. Based on these comparisons, he suggests that a retest of the 50-week moving average from below is likely, with the potential for further upside if historical behavior repeats.
Sentiment Data Points to Exhaustion
The video also highlights sentiment conditions using the Crypto Fear and Greed Index. XRP is currently experiencing an extended period of extreme fear, a state that has previously coincided with price stabilization and subsequent recoveries.
The analyst points to prior instances where prolonged fear lasted more than a month before giving way to sharp upward moves. The reappearance of similar sentiment patterns is presented as evidence that selling pressure may be nearing exhaustion.
Macro Events and the Bank of Japan Decision
Macroeconomic factors are also addressed, particularly the Bank of Japan’s confirmed interest rate hike to 0.75 percent. Past rate increases by the Bank of Japan aligned with significant corrections in XRP and the crypto market overall.
However, the analyst emphasizes that previous hikes occurred after market advances, while the current environment has already seen a decline ahead of the decision. This difference leads him to believe that the upcoming rate hike is largely reflected in current prices, reducing the probability of an additional sharp sell-off.
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Market Positioning and Accumulation Signals
Further indicators discussed include a sharp decline in leveraged futures activity, reduced aggressive buying, and historically low search interest. These conditions are interpreted as signs that speculative excess has been cleared.
At the same time, continued positive XRP ETF inflows are highlighted as evidence of ongoing institutional demand. Taken together, the analyst concludes that current conditions favor the formation of a local bottom, with a meaningful move potentially approaching, even if the exact timing remains uncertain.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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