As digital asset markets continue to recover from their December downturn, renewed optimism has returned across major cryptocurrencies. XRP has been among the beneficiaries of this rebound, recording a steady climb since the start of the year.
After opening 2026 near the $1.84 level, the token has since advanced to highs around $2.41, reflecting improving sentiment and stronger short-term momentum.
Within this context, well-known market commentator Mario Nawfal has shared his outlook on where XRP and other large-cap cryptocurrencies could realistically trade if current conditions persist. Unlike speculative forecasts that rely on extreme assumptions, Nawfal framed his projections as achievable outcomes rather than aspirational scenarios.
Nawfal’s Price Expectations for XRP and Major Cryptocurrencies
In a recent post, Nawfal identified $4 as a reasonable price objective for XRP. Alongside this, he outlined expectations for other leading assets, including Bitcoin at $145,000, Ethereum at $7,000, and Solana at $500.
Realistic numbers I’d like to see:
Bitcoin → $145k
Ethereum → $7k
Solana → $500
XRP → $4Am I crazy, or does this look achievable?
— 0xMarioNawfal (@RoundtableSpace) January 5, 2026
He emphasized that these figures represent what he considers attainable levels within the current market cycle, assuming continued participation from institutional and retail investors.
For XRP, the $4 level holds historical relevance. The token reached a peak of $3.84 during the 2018 bull market and came close to revisiting that range in July 2025, when it surged to $3.65 before losing momentum.
That rally ultimately stalled as broader market conditions weakened, leading to a notable correction. However, XRP’s renewed strength in early 2026 has prompted analysts like Nawfal to revisit the possibility of a return to that zone.
From its recent trading price near $2.35, XRP would need to rise by approximately two-thirds to reach $4. Achieving that level would also push its market capitalization to roughly $240 billion, placing it firmly among the largest digital assets globally.
Historical Performance and Market Constraints
Supporters of Nawfal’s outlook point to XRP’s history of sharp price expansions as evidence that a move of this scale is not unprecedented. In late 2024, the token recorded a rally exceeding 400% within a relatively short period. Against that backdrop, a move under 70% appears comparatively moderate.
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That said, analysts also acknowledge that XRP faces meaningful technical barriers. Price zones around $3 have repeatedly acted as resistance, and sustained buying pressure would be required to overcome these levels. As a result, while the $4 target is viewed by some as achievable, it may not be reached without periods of consolidation or temporary pullbacks.
Mixed Reactions From the Analyst Community
Nawfal’s projections have generated varied responses. Some market observers, including figures such as Zach Rector, have suggested XRP could revisit its mid-2025 highs if favourable conditions continue.
Others remain more cautious, arguing that XRP’s volatility and past reversals warrant tempered expectations, even as they agree with Nawfal’s outlook for assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
XRP’s Current Market Position
In the short term, XRP has distinguished itself as one of the strongest performers among large-cap cryptocurrencies. Recent data shows it leading the top ten assets in daily gains, with double-digit advances that exceed those of most peers.
Weekly performance has also remained robust, reinforcing the perception that XRP is benefiting from renewed accumulation and broader market recovery.
Some investors attribute this strength to tightening supply conditions, as XRP continues to be absorbed through exchange-traded products and corporate treasury strategies. While these factors do not guarantee sustained appreciation, they contribute to the growing belief that XRP’s current rally could have room to extend.
Overall, Nawfal’s $4 projection reflects a cautious optimism grounded in market history, current momentum, and realistic growth assumptions rather than speculative extremes.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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