Uncertainty has returned to the cryptocurrency market, and traders are now looking for signals that can explain the latest shift in momentum. XRP has once again captured attention as price volatility intensifies and long-term chart structures come back into focus.
Market observers are questioning whether the prevailing weakness indicates a deeper downturn or represents the final phase preceding a renewed rally, prompting inquiry into whether current levels present a buying opportunity or signal further downside risk.
In a recent video shared on X, analyst Levi Rietveld of Crypto Crusaders argues that XRP may be approaching a decisive turning point. He analyzes market cycles and long-term trends, rather than short-term price swings, viewing the current decline as a necessary reset – a pattern seen in previous phases of the market.
A Giant $XRP Reset Is Coming! pic.twitter.com/1ZIc1j6mMb
— Levi | Crypto Crusaders (@LeviRietveld) February 17, 2026
The Importance of the 100-Week Moving Average
Rietveld highlights XRP’s movement below the 100-week simple moving average, a level that previously aligned with late-stage bear market conditions. Historically, when prices dropped below this level, it often marked a lasting bottom rather than the start of a bigger crash. He interprets the current breakdown through that historical lens, suggesting the market may be completing another reset phase instead of entering a prolonged downturn.
Long-term chart history supports the broader concept of cyclical compression followed by expansion. XRP has repeatedly spent extended periods consolidating before launching sharp upward moves once sentiment and liquidity improved. Technical analysts frequently rely on these recurring structures to estimate where the market sits within a broader cycle, even though no pattern guarantees repetition.
Projecting the Next Bullish Phase
Using prior cycle timing and moving-average relationships, Rietveld estimates that XRP could form a bottom between March and April 2026. He also points to the interaction between the 50-week and 100-week averages, which historically signaled strengthening momentum once bullish alignment emerged. If a similar structure develops again, the market could transition from reset conditions into a new upward trend.
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Still, cryptocurrency forecasts remain probabilistic. External forces—including macroeconomic liquidity, regulatory developments, and institutional capital flows—can quickly disrupt even the most consistent technical setups. Traders, therefore, treat cycle analysis as a framework for risk management rather than certainty.
Broader Forces Shaping XRP’s Outlook
Beyond chart signals, structural developments across the digital-asset industry continue to influence sentiment. Expansion in global payments infrastructure, tokenization initiatives, and stablecoin usage keeps long-term interest in blockchain networks elevated. At the same time, persistent volatility and policy uncertainty continue to shape capital rotation across major cryptocurrencies.
Rietveld’s “giant reset” thesis ultimately reflects a familiar dynamic within crypto markets: periods of maximum doubt often emerge just before momentum shifts. Whether XRP follows its historical pattern again will depend on how technical structure, investor psychology, and macro conditions converge in the months ahead.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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