In the unpredictable world of crypto markets, long‑term trend signals often reveal what short‑term price swings hide. For holders of XRP, a critical structural pattern has recently resurfaced on weekly charts that could signal a pivotal moment in the token’s multi‑year cycle.
Rather than mere price speculation, this pattern centers on how XRP behaves around its long‑term moving averages — a technical lens that many seasoned analysts consider essential for distinguishing between shallow corrections and deeper cycle lows.
In a recent post on X by Levi Rietveld of Crypto Crusaders, the significance of the 50‑week and 100‑week simple moving averages (SMAs) was brought to the forefront for XRP investors.
Rietveld’s analysis suggests that how XRP interacts with these key moving averages — especially after prolonged periods below the 50‑week SMA — has historically preceded major shifts in trend direction and can offer insight into potential long‑term entry points for strategic holders.
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The Role of the 50‑Week SMA in XRP’s Market Cycles
The 50‑week SMA is widely regarded among technical analysts as a structural divider between sustained bullish trends and extended bearish phases. Historical chart patterns indicate that when XRP trades below this moving average for an extended period (typically around 50–84 days) and then reclaims it on the weekly chart, strong upward momentum has often followed.
In 2017, XRP spent roughly 70 days under this level before a notable rally, and in 2021, a shorter period below the SMA also preceded a significant rebound. The most dramatic precedent appeared in 2024, when around 84 days beneath the 50‑week SMA were followed by an approximate 850% surge into mid‑2025.
This repeated configuration has led analysts to view extended stretches below the 50‑week SMA not only as periods of bearish pressure but also as potential setup phases for explosive rallies once that level is decisively reclaimed on the weekly timeframe.
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Approaching the 100‑Week SMA: A Deeper Structural Indicator
Beneath the 50‑week SMA lies the 100‑week SMA, another long‑term line that chartists interpret as a deeper measure of structural market floors. When price approaches this longer moving average, it often signals that the market is testing foundational support zones where significant investor capitulation can give way to renewed accumulation phases.
Rietveld’s observation that XRP is nearing this level suggests a phase where long‑term buyers may begin positioning ahead of a potential cycle bottom, echoing patterns observed in previous bear markets.
Taken together, these two moving averages frame a dynamic corridor in which XRP’s weekly price action unfolds. The interplay between them provides a roadmap of sorts: breaking below the 50‑week SMA typically denotes bearish compression, while proximity to the 100‑week SMA hints that structural lows may be in sight.
Broader Market Context and What It Means for Holders
It’s important to balance this moving average analysis with broader market indicators. XRP’s price has been under macro pressure along with the wider crypto market, and technical risks such as resistance at key price bands remain relevant.
However, the historical consistency of the 50‑week SMA pattern offers a disciplined framework for interpreting price action beyond day‑to‑day volatility.
For long‑term holders, understanding these structural benchmarks can be crucial. Rather than reacting to short‑term fluctuations, watching how XRP trades around these long‑term moving averages — particularly the 50‑week and 100‑week SMAs — may provide a more grounded perspective on when historic accumulation windows emerge and when potential trend shifts could unfold.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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