XRP’s long-term price outlook remains a major topic among market analysts, particularly as investors look beyond short-term volatility for clues about the asset’s next major move.
Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has presented a historical comparison suggesting that XRP’s previous recoveries after major market crashes could provide a roadmap for the current cycle. Using the six-month chart, he identified a recurring pattern that, if repeated, places the cryptocurrency on course for a potential move toward the $13 level.
Comparing Three Major XRP Market Crashes
Egrag Crypto began by revisiting the March 2020 COVID-19 market crash, which he noted on X, resulted in approximately $1.2 billion in liquidations. Following that event, he stated that XRP advanced by roughly 1,900%, eventually reaching around $1.89.
He then pointed to the collapse of FTX in November 2022, which he said triggered approximately $1.6 billion in liquidations. According to his analysis, XRP subsequently recorded another major recovery, climbing about 1,200% to approximately $3.37.
The analyst then turned to what he described as the “10/10 Crash” on October 10, 2025, which he said produced an estimated $19.6 billion in liquidations. Unlike the previous two events, this market cycle is still developing, leading Egrag Crypto to examine what could happen if XRP follows its historical recovery pattern once again.
#XRP – The 6M Macro Crash Signal ( $13 Is the Average Price):
Every major $XRP crash has been followed by a massive macro expansion. Look at the 6-month chart.
🟣Covid Crash:
▫️$1.2B liquidation
▫️Date: 12/03/2020
▫️After that, $XRP pumped around 1,900% toward $1.89🟣FTX… pic.twitter.com/2tV6xSJ7V6
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) July 9, 2026
Average Expansion Leads to $13 XRP Price Projection
Using the two previous post-crash rallies as a benchmark, Egrag Crypto calculated an average macro expansion. He combined the 1,900% gain recorded after the COVID crash with the 1,200% increase preceding the FTX collapse, producing a total of 3,100%. Dividing that figure by two resulted in an average expansion of approximately 1,550%.
Applying that percentage to the current macro structure, the analyst concluded that XRP could reach a range between $11 and $13. He emphasized that $13 is not an arbitrary target but rather the average outcome of XRP’s historical recoveries after major liquidation events.
The accompanying chart illustrates each of these market cycles, marking the COVID crash, the FTX crash, and the October 2025 liquidation event before projecting a potential move toward the $13 level if the historical pattern repeats.
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Focus Remains on the Macro Structure
Egrag Crypto stressed that the six-month timeframe offers a clearer view of XRP’s long-term trend by filtering out short-term volatility. He described the recurring sequence as crash, accumulation, and expansion, maintaining that this broader structure has remained intact throughout previous market cycles.
While acknowledging that many XRP traders are focused on daily price fluctuations and market uncertainty, the analyst stated that his attention remains on the six-month macro signal.
Based on that longer-term perspective, he maintained that XRP continues to trade within the same larger structure and that the average post-crash expansion still supports a potential move toward the $13 level if historical performance repeats.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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