The latest discussion around XRP supply dynamics gained renewed attention after finance expert Selathiel responded to a post by Chad Steingraber with a set of projections generated through a scarcity-based model.
The response referenced Grok and included detailed charts outlining how continuous daily accumulation, combined with ETF-driven demand, could bring extreme price outcomes if circulating supply contracts at the pace described.
The analysis focuses on the numbers presented rather than speculation, offering a structured look at what such a supply squeeze would mathematically imply.
Grok sais: pic.twitter.com/SN9AfGOmp7
— SELATHIEL::::::::::::::::: DIVINE LIGHT :.:.:.: (@theAuthentic11) November 15, 2025
The Acquisition Framework Presented by Chad Steingraber
Chad Steingraber’s initial breakdown lays the foundation for the model. He outlines a target daily average acquisition level of 11 million XRP and scales it across twelve ETF funds to produce a combined daily intake of 132 million XRP. At that rate, weekly accumulation reaches approximately 666 million XRP.
The one-month projection suggests that these flows would move about 2.64 billion XRP into cold storage. Extending the same accumulation pattern across twelve months, roughly 31.68 billion XRP were removed from the circulating supply, treated in the model as effectively inaccessible.
Selathiel’s Grok-Based $15,000 XRP Price Projection
Selathiel’s response applies these supply assumptions to a month-by-month valuation model. Beginning at a starting price of $2.45, the model calculates price appreciation strictly from decreasing supply.
It presents moderate increases in early months, reflecting initial reductions from over 31 billion XRP in circulation down to about 29 billion. By month three, the projected price reaches approximately $7.57. As the model continues, the supply drops more sharply, falling to levels such as 18.48 billion XRP by month five and 10.56 billion by month eight.
This accelerating contraction results in equally rapid upward adjustments in the projected price path. By month six, the model displays a valuation of around $32.82.
As the supply moves into single-digit billions, the projections climb into triple- and quadruple-digit territory. Grok’s scarcity-based model shows a depletion of the available supply, assigning a hypothetical price exceeding $15,000.
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Interpreting the Model’s Structure
The attached tables and chart emphasize that the outcome stems directly from compounding percentage increases tied to each reduction stage. Relative reduction percentages rise steadily—from around 8% early on to 100% at the end—while the projected price increase percentages scale in parallel.
The model labels the later-stage figures as unrealistic without significant shifts in how the market processes price discovery, indicating that such explosive behavior would normally trigger structural limits, regulatory protections, or liquidity adjustments.
Selathiel’s reply presents a clear numerical demonstration of how a strict scarcity model would translate sustained daily accumulation into rising valuations over time.
By combining Chad Steingraber’s acquisition assumptions with an aggressive reduction-based pricing formula, the attached visuals illustrate how extreme outcomes emerge mathematically when supply is removed at scale. The projection is framed as a theoretical exploration rather than a practical forecast, anchored entirely in the supply-shock scenario.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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