Egrag Crypto published a chart comparing recent XRP price action to Bitcoin’s pattern around the launch of spot ETFs.
The analysis identifies three discrete phases observed in Bitcoin’s ETF event: an immediate decline of approximately 20% from the launch point, a subsequent rally of roughly 91% from the same reference, and a later extended appreciation of nearly 230% measured from the ETF launch price.
Applying the same percentage sequence to XRP, the chart marks a downside reference near $2.01 (the 20% contraction), an intermediate upside target near $3.85 (a 91% gain), and an extended target around $6.64 reflecting the 230% expansion.
What if history repeats itself , but this time with #XRP? 👀
When #BTC got its Spot #ETF, it first dumped 20%, then pumped 91%, and finally exploded 230% from the launch point! 💥
Now imagine #XRP following the same pattern… The #XRP chart is… pic.twitter.com/HIWt85sOf1
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) November 13, 2025
Chart-based premises and projected levels
Egrag Crypto’s work is framed as a technical juxtaposition rather than a deterministic forecast. The chart shows XRP trading near $2.50 at the time of the analysis, with moving averages and price structure used to justify the visual comparison to Bitcoin’s ETF-era moves.
The annotated levels on the chart are derived by applying Bitcoin’s percentage moves directly to XRP’s launch reference. While the annotated downside of about 20% is presented as a potential shakeout level, the two upside measurements are offered as sequential profit targets if the same trajectory were to play out.
Market commentary and caveats
Responses from market participants underscore uncertainty. One respondent warned that an XRP pattern mirroring Bitcoin’s would likely produce a sharp short-term correction that disadvantages transient holders while benefiting longer-term or better-positioned participants.
We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1
— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025
Another commenter emphasized that the situation is unprecedented and that outright certainty is not attainable; the commenter stressed that market participants cannot know in advance how the market will react to comparable structural events.
When contextualizing such a scenario, it is important to distinguish pattern recognition from prediction. Technical similarities can exist between different assets and different events without guaranteeing identical outcomes.
External factors that influenced Bitcoin’s ETF reaction — including regulatory context, institutional demand, macro liquidity, and differences in market structure — may not replicate for XRP. Egrag Crypto’s comparison is framed as a hypothetical that highlights one possible path rather than a conclusive expectation.
The chart and accompanying commentary, therefore, serve as a stimulus for further analysis. Not as a substitute for individualized risk assessment or due diligence.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
Follow us on X, Facebook, Telegram, and Google News
