XRP continues to attract attention from market participants as analysts assess whether the digital asset remains on track for another major upward move or risks deeper correction.
With price action consolidating near key support and resistance levels, technical analysts are closely watching the market structure for clues about XRP’s next direction.
Among those weighing in is crypto analyst Egrag Crypto, who recently shared his latest assessment on X. Using his AMD (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution) framework and the “Power of 3” model, Egrag outlined both bullish and bearish scenarios for XRP, while identifying the price levels he believes will determine which path ultimately plays out.
#XRP – Which AMD Model Is Playing Out? ⚠️
Right now, I still lean toward the:
🟢 Bullish AMD / Power of 3 Model
Why? Because current price action still resembles:
▫️Manipulation
▫️Liquidity harvesting
▫️Emotional exhaustion
▫️not a confirmed macro top.🎲Probability Model:
✅… pic.twitter.com/QbXEWUWSF1— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) June 2, 2026
Bullish AMD Model Remains the Preferred Outcome
According to Egrag, the bullish AMD scenario currently carries a probability of approximately 65% to 70%. Under this outlook, XRP would continue to hold its macro support levels and eventually reclaim the $1.80 area.
The analyst’s chart illustrates a period of consolidation and volatility before a potential breakout higher. If XRP successfully regains and holds above $1.80, Egrag Crypto believes the next phase could involve a significant price expansion.
His projected targets under the bullish scenario include $5.50, $7.00, and ultimately levels above $9.40. The chart shows these targets aligning with key Fibonacci extension zones, suggesting that a sustained move above resistance could open the door to substantially higher valuations.
Egrag’s analysis suggests that the current market environment resembles a manipulation phase within the Power of 3 framework rather than the distribution phase typically associated with the end of a major cycle.
Bearish Scenario Hinges on Loss of Key Support
While maintaining a bullish bias, Egrag also outlined conditions that could invalidate the positive outlook.
He assigned a 30% and 35% probability to the bearish AMD scenario. In this case, XRP would first interact with the $1.80 level before suffering a decisive decline toward $0.78. Such a move, according to the analyst, would weaken the broader macro structure and indicate that distribution is accelerating rather than a new expansion phase developing.
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The chart specifically identifies $0.78 as the most important level to monitor. Egrag described this price zone as the dividing line between bullish manipulation and bearish continuation.
A sustained breakdown below that level would significantly alter the technical picture and increase the likelihood that XRP has entered a more prolonged corrective phase.
Focus Remains on Structure Rather Than Sentiment
Throughout his analysis, Egrag stressed the importance of following market structure instead of reacting to short-term emotions. His assessment remains tilted toward the bullish AMD model, but he acknowledged that confirmation will depend on XRP maintaining macro support and eventually reclaiming the $1.80 resistance area.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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