XRP’s recent 50/200 EMA cross has sparked alarm, but a closer look suggests this might be consolidation—not capitulation. Analyst Egrag Crypto argues that despite the classic “death cross” noise, the setup aligns more closely with past bullish compression phases than a terminal bear turn.
Revisiting the Bear Market Argument
Critics say that when the 50 EMA falls below the 200 EMA, it signals a major downturn. But Egrag points out that such a cross only confirms a bear market when the price is already below both EMAs, and momentum is clearly rolling over.
That’s not what’s happening now. On the 3‑day chart, XRP remains above the rising 200 EMA. The long EMA is still trending upward, not tilting downward—undermining a traditional bear-market thesis.
#XRP – 50/200 EMA Cross: The Real Signal ⚠️📈
The 3-Day chart shows the 50 EMA approaching the 200 EMA… and many are screaming “bear market.”
But the structure tells a very different story 👇👇1️⃣ Bear Market? Not Confirmed 🚫:
A true bearish cross only matters when price is… pic.twitter.com/LjyJBdp7ai— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) November 24, 2025
Learning from Past Cycles: 2017 and Early 2021
Rather than invoking 2018—when the death cross followed a severe breakdown—Egrag draws parallels to 2017 and early 2021. In those phases, XRP displayed tight EMA compression, with the 50 and 200 lines converging while price hovered above the 200 EMA.
That compression eventually exploded into massive upward moves. To Egrag, the current structure feels eerily similar: coiled energy rather than a broken-down trend.
The Case for Late‑Cycle Consolidation
Egrag frames the current price action as a late-cycle consolidation, not a completed top. Consolidation in crypto is a phase of reduced volatility where buyers and sellers reach a temporary equilibrium.
During this stage, the price often trades within a confined range with low volume. In other words, the market is pausing to catch its breath before a potential continuation.
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This consolidation could be forming a neutral or even bullish continuation pattern, similar to a symmetrical triangle. Such patterns signal temporary indecision and often precede strong breakouts.
Key Technical Levels to Watch
According to Egrag Crypto, the $2.65 zone is critically important. It once acted as support but now serves as resistance. A decisive 3‑day close above that level could validate his bullish thesis.
If that breakout occurs, his targets range between $2.85 and $3.44. Conversely, failure to reclaim $2.65 could stretch consolidation or bring renewed pressure.
Why This Narrative Matters
If Egrag is right, what many call a bearish doom signal may instead be a strategic setup. Rather than signaling capitulation, the 50/200 EMA cross could mark the midpoint of a defined consolidation phase. In that view, the cross is not the end of a cycle—but the calm before a potential final thrust higher.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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