Crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) has issued a note of caution to investors watching the altcoin market.
In a recent post, he argued that many traders are being misled by claims of an ongoing altcoin rally, and presented two charts, each showing different timeframes and very different outcomes for altcoin performance.
The first chart tracks progress yearly. This data indicates that it is not an Altcoin Year, with the index positioned at 35, well below the level that would suggest altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin. By contrast, the second chart measures shorter-term conditions. This reading places the index at 82, officially declaring Altcoin Season.
Every one is posting shit and miss leading you. Telling you it is #AltSeason and u r wonder why ur bags are not pumping.
This is on Yearly basis perspective chart .
And this is on Daily Time frame:
So do not follow big account blindly because they are the ones that are… pic.twitter.com/aCWt2LeI3k
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) September 14, 2025
Timeframes Create Conflicting Signals
The charts EGRAG shared are from Blockchain Center’s Altcoin Season Index, which tracks whether Bitcoin or altcoins dominate the market.
A value above 75 points to altcoins leading strongly in the short term, while a value under 25 shows Bitcoin holding the advantage. On the daily timeframe, the 82 reading would normally confirm heavy strength from the altcoin market.
However, on the longer one-year perspective, the picture is less favorable. The same index shows altcoins have not held an advantage for more than 1,300 days.
Average periods labeled as Altcoin Year have historically lasted just 18 days, compared to 19 days for Bitcoin’s. The longest stretch on record for altcoins holding dominance was 91 days, still significantly shorter than Bitcoin’s 297-day maximum.
EGRAG CRYPTO’s Message to Traders
EGRAG CRYPTO cautioned traders against following narratives from large accounts without examining the details for themselves. He argued that many market participants are being misled into believing a full altcoin rally is underway, when in reality the yearly perspective tells a different story than the daily timeframe.
While short-term charts may suggest strength in altcoins, the market can shift quickly, and the longer-term data does not yet support the idea of altcoin dominance.
EGRAG CRYPTO is well-known for supporting XRP, and the asset’s recent performance suggests that the altseason rally has not begun. Reducing Bitcoin dominance often leaves room for XRP to grow. While the asset has performed remarkably in 2025, it is still below the high expectations of many analysts, including EGRAG CRYPTO.
By comparing these two measurements, his central argument is that traders should not expect altcoins to deliver sustained gains just because the daily index has moved into altcoin season territory, as the longer-term trend shows Bitcoin’s dominance.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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