Prominent crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) has shared a new analysis of XRP on the monthly time frame, highlighting a potential price trajectory based on recurring historical patterns.
The analysis segments XRP’s price behavior into three distinct cycles, each marked by interactions with the 21-month Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
#XRP – Historical Drop Zone ($12 to $46) But the Average drop is 1500%📉🚀
Let me clarify something upfront: I’m here to share data, insights, and analysis based on math, charts, and historical patterns. If anyone finds that unhelpful, feel free to block me — I’m not here for… pic.twitter.com/mb1kCvYHeU
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) May 25, 2025
The first two cycles reveal a consistent structure: an initial breakdown below the 21 EMA, followed by a temporary recovery toward the EMA, and then a secondary, deeper drop. In Cycle 1, XRP initially dropped 5500%, recovered, then declined another 2500%.
Cycle 2 displayed a similar pattern, but less extreme, with a 150% drop, a retracement, and a subsequent 500% fall. These recurring behaviors are the foundation of EGRAG CRYPTO’s current outlook.
However, a closer look at the chart reveals that it is inverted, and the parts the analyst highlighted as price drops are notable price surges, showing the asset’s strength and potential for a massive rally.
Cycle 3 and the Ongoing Retracement
The chart identifies the current market structure as “Cycle 3.” According to EGRAG CRYPTO, the asset has again surpassed the 21 EMA and has seen a rebound of approximately 430%. The price is currently trading near $2.28. He explains, “We’re currently retracing back to touch the 21 EMA — if XRP stays above $2, the EMA will descend to meet the price.”
This retracement phase is considered essential within the historical framework. The anticipated scenario involves the EMA converging with the current price level before XRP enters its secondary rally. If history repeats, this move could be substantial.
We are on twitter, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1
— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) July 15, 2023
Projected Price Targets Based on Historical Drops
EGRAG Crypto provides potential downside targets for XRP by extrapolating from previous market cycles. If the decline mimics the 2500% rise of Cycle 1, XRP could climb to $46.42. A less severe upsurge in line with the 500% increase from Cycle 2 would bring the target to around $12.
Other analysts have shared similar targets, and EGRAG CRYPTO notes that averaging the two outcomes could yield an approximate 1500% rise from current levels, which suggests a mid-range price target of $29.
The analyst has consistently predicted a surge to $27, and refines this average, suggesting the asset will hit $27.
Focus on the Long-Term Structure
According to EGRAG CRYPTO, using the monthly time frame helps “filter out short-term noise and understand the bigger picture.” The analysis does not rely on short-term sentiment or speculative headlines, but taps measurable historical data.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
Follow us on X, Facebook, Telegram, and Google News
