XRP could be nearing the end of its latest correction if a historical price pattern continues to play out, crypto analyst ChartNerd believes.
By comparing XRP’s current market structure with previous bear markets, the analyst pointed to a recurring technical signal that has appeared before every major recovery. The analysis also outlines long-term Fibonacci targets ranging from $8 to $27 after what could be the final phase of the current decline.
ChartNerd posted a chart on X that covered XRP’s price action from 2014 through the current cycle. The chart focuses on the asset’s relationship with the upper regression band of a Gaussian channel, highlighting similar formations in 2014, 2018, 2022, and 2025. Each cycle includes a marked “sweep,” showing XRP briefly moving below the regression band before reversing higher.
Once this bottom is marked, $XRP could easily begin a 10x plus journey towards our $8/$13/$27 FIB targets. Few believed in this outcome many moons back when we covered it in February, but only now is the crowd really paying attention to the idea. Stick with Nerd 🫡 https://t.co/oHIELCfPaR
— 🇬🇧 ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) July 17, 2026
$0.88 Emerges as the Key Technical Level
ChartNerd wrote that XRP has swept below the upper regression band in every previous bear market. With the current regression band sitting near $0.88, the analyst questioned why this cycle would produce a different outcome.
The chart identifies several historical examples where this move occurred before XRP established a market bottom. Based on that pattern, ChartNerd suggested the current price action could represent the final sweep before the next major advance begins.
The analyst added that once the bottom is in place, XRP could begin a move of more than ten times its value. The long-term outlook is tied to Fibonacci extension levels that project price targets of approximately $8, $13, and $27.
ChartNerd also mentioned that many people dismissed this scenario when it was first presented in February. The analyst noted that interest in the idea increased only after XRP moved closer to the projected regression band.
Community Members Share Their Outlook
The analysis prompted several reactions from XRP supporters, with many expressing confidence in the long-term outlook while offering different expectations for the path ahead.
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— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025
One commenter, Kyle, said he also sees the possibility of a 10x move but expects XRP to decline toward the $0.50 range before recovering. He added that he would consider taking profits between $4 and $8. Kyle also criticized claims that XRP could suddenly reach $1,000, saying those expectations lead many investors to overlook more realistic profit-taking opportunities.
Another commenter, Stumpy, welcomed the possibility of XRP falling below $1, saying such a move would provide another chance to accumulate more tokens. At the same time, Stumpy felt that a $27 target by 2030 would be relatively modest given expectations surrounding XRP’s long-term adoption.
ChartNerd’s outlook reflects a technical analysis of recurring historical market behavior. While the chart highlights similarities between previous bear market bottoms and the current structure, future price performance will continue to depend on market conditions, investor sentiment, and developments across the digital asset industry.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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