The cryptocurrency market often hides sudden reversals beneath periods of apparent calm. That tension is at the heart of a new analysis from prominent market commentator Egrag Crypto, who has taken a decidedly bearish stance on XRP despite its strong performance in 2025.
His perspective invites a closer look at recent price action, historical patterns, and what they may signal for traders in the weeks ahead.
Egrag Crypto’s Warning
In a recent post, Egrag reminded followers that “patterns repeat, but you keep ignoring it.” Drawing on XRP’s past behavior around the Bull Market Support Band (BMSB), he highlighted two sharp pullbacks earlier this year and cautioned that another decline could be imminent.
“If XRP drops below $1.90 on the 3-day timeframe,” he wrote, “it’s time to sell everything and run for the hills.”
#XRP – Today I Want to Be a #Bear 🐻 :
⚪️From my post on September 25, 2025, titled “#XRP – Patterns Repeat, But You Keep Ignoring It!” 📊, let’s take a closer look at how #XRP has reacted on the daily timeframe when interacting with the Bull Market Support (BMSB).
⚪️Key… https://t.co/hm2HAOIwrJ pic.twitter.com/SZ2F3o6yWh
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) September 27, 2025
Verifying the Historical Declines
Historical data supports much of Egrag’s analysis. Exchange records show that in April 2025 XRP fell roughly 24% from its early-month highs, and in late June it declined about 10% based on daily closing prices—intraday swings approached the 13% drop Egrag cited.
Averaged together, these moves amount to an 18–19% pullback, illustrating the coin’s capacity for swift corrections even during a broader uptrend.
Potential Downside Targets
With XRP trading near $2.78 as of report time, those historical drops provide a framework for possible retracements. A repeat of the April move would imply a price near $2.11, while a decline similar to June’s would bring the token to about $2.42.
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— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025
The average of the two, around $2.26, sits squarely in the range Egrag highlights as a realistic short-term target if selling pressure accelerates.
Implications for Traders
Why do these levels matter? For highly leveraged traders, a slide toward the low-$2 range could trigger forced liquidations, compounding downward momentum. Even a modest pullback toward $2.40 could squeeze overextended long positions.
Egrag’s $1.90 threshold is particularly significant: a decisive close below that mark on the three-day chart would signal a structural break in XRP’s bullish trend and could prompt a broader market reassessment.
A Measured Perspective
While Egrag Crypto’s analysis carries a cautionary tone, it does not predict the end of XRP’s long-term prospects. Instead, it serves as a reminder that sharp corrections are common—even in bull markets—and that disciplined risk management is essential.
Traders who account for these historical patterns and size their positions accordingly will be better prepared for potential volatility, whether or not the worst-case scenario unfolds.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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