A recent technical assessment shared by market analyst ChartNerd places XRP at a potentially consequential juncture on the three-month Heikin-Ashi chart.
According to the analysis, the current quarterly candle has less than 75 days remaining before it closes, and the color of that close carries notable historical implications.
Past instances where XRP printed red three-month Heikin-Ashi candles at elevated price levels have coincided with deeper corrective phases and prolonged periods of market weakness. The current setup is, therefore, presented as an opportunity for the asset to invalidate a pattern that has previously aligned with macro market tops.
The chart shared alongside the commentary highlights multiple historical periods where bearish quarterly Heikin-Ashi candles preceded extended drawdowns.
These prior examples are visually emphasized to underscore the analyst’s concern that a similar outcome could materialize if the current candle fails to close positively. Within this context, the focus is not on short-term price fluctuations, but on the structural signal conveyed by higher-timeframe candle behavior.
Historical Context and a Notable Exception
While the general historical pattern is presented as consistent, the analysis acknowledges an exception during the November and December 2024 period. During that interval, the three-month Heikin-Ashi candles were red but displayed relatively shallow bodies.
This deviation suggests that not all bearish closes carry equal weight, and that candle structure itself plays a role in determining market implications. The analyst suggests that a similar outcome could theoretically occur again, where a red close forms without indicating a severe shift in trend.
However, the distinction is made between shallow bearish candles and the more pronounced red candles seen at previous macro turning points. The latter, characterized by larger bodies and stronger downside confirmation, are described as the scenario market participants would seek to avoid. As a result, the emphasis remains on achieving a green close to invalidate comparisons with earlier market tops.
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Diverging Views on Technical Signals and Liquidity
The post also references a contrasting viewpoint offered by another market participant, who downplays the relevance of candle formations altogether.
This perspective centers on liquidity conditions rather than chart patterns, arguing that the absence of major capital inflows and new all-time highs indicates that risk-on behavior has not yet returned to the market. From this standpoint, technical candle signals are secondary to evidence of sustained capital rotation into higher-risk assets.
Taken together, the exchange reflects an ongoing divide between technically driven analysis and liquidity-focused market interpretation.
ChartNerd’s assessment claims that the three-month Heikin-Ashi close represents a key structural signal for XRP, while opposing views emphasize macro capital flows as the ultimate determinant of direction.
With the quarterly close approaching, both perspectives converge on the same point in time, making the coming weeks particularly significant for longer-term market observers.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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