XRP is sitting at a level that rarely goes unnoticed by long-term traders. Price action has slowed, and the chart now shows XRP pressing directly against its trend ribbon, a zone that has defined major cycle shifts in the past. While the signal does not predict outcomes, it has a track record that demands attention.
Crypto analyst Steph Is Crypto (@Steph_iscrypto) highlighted this setup using XRP’s monthly chart. He pointed to a structural signal that has historically marked the transition from support to sustained downside. That context matters now because XRP trades near $1.92, while hovering on the same indicator that preceded deep drawdowns in the past.
On $XRP ’s monthly chart, losing the trend ribbon has historically marked the shift into full bearish momentum.
In 2018 and 2022, the moment XRP lost the monthly trend ribbon, it wasn’t just a pullback — it confirmed a broader bearish trend, followed by –65% and –54% downside… pic.twitter.com/9G3GCuxrnZ
— STEPH IS CRYPTO (@Steph_iscrypto) December 22, 2025
What the Monthly Trend Ribbon Has Signaled Before
The trend ribbon acts as a long-term momentum filter on higher timeframes. When price holds above it, XRP has historically remained in a supported trend. When the price loses it on a monthly close, selling pressure tends to accelerate.
Steph Is Crypto pointed to two prior cases. In 2018, XRP lost the monthly ribbon and later declined by about 65%. In 2022, a similar loss preceded a 54% drop. These were not brief pullbacks. Each move confirmed a bearish phase that lasted months.
Applying those same drawdowns to current would send XRP far below key support levels. A 54% decline from $1.92 would place XRP near $0.88. A 65% move would push the price closer to $0.67. These levels sit well below the current market structure and would represent a full trend reset rather than a routine correction.
Why This Signal Carries Weight Now
Higher timeframes reduce noise. They compress sentiment into longer cycles. Steph Is Crypto emphasized that prior ribbon losses aligned with confirmed bearish momentum rather than false breaks. That history does not guarantee repetition, but it sets expectations.
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A confirmed monthly close below the ribbon would place XRP back into a risk zone defined by its own past behavior. Traders tend to react decisively to such shifts. That reaction has previously amplified downside moves.
The Bullish Counterweight to the Historical Pattern
The current cycle carries variables that did not exist in 2018 or 2022. XRP now trades in an environment shaped by regulatory clarity and institutional access. Products like spot XRP ETFs have increased the asset’s institutional appeal, and these factors can change how technical signals resolve.
Steph Is Crypto’s analysis highlights the risk, but the chart shows a warning, not a verdict. Other analysts have shared bullish expectations for XRP, and its performance at the start of 2026 could determine what to expect.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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