The crypto market is entering a tense moment as XRP approaches a critical technical zone. Traders are watching price movements with renewed focus. They hope to determine whether the asset is preparing for a major breakout or another painful rejection. The atmosphere feels similar to past cycles where a single signal changed everything.
In a recent analysis on X, JD highlighted XRP’s retest of the 21-month EMA. He noted that a similar setup appeared in December 2017. That test preceded XRP’s explosive rally to all-time highs in January 2018. JD believes history may repeat itself if the trendline holds for twenty more days. He warns that momentum could flip rapidly once traders confirm support.
Historical Parallels and Key Differences
XRP’s 2017 structure remains a major reference point for long-term analysts. The December 2017 retest acted as a perfect springboard. The market then produced a rapid vertical rally. Today’s setup shows striking similarities on higher-time-frame charts.
$XRP – Back in Dec 2017, we tested 21m EMA then bounce to All Time Highs (ATHs) in Jan 2018
Dec 2025, we are now testing 21m EMA. Will we copy Jan 2018 & bounce to ATHs in Jan 2026?
IF trendline holds in 20 days, I expect ATH in Q1 2026, then Rug Pull CRASH!
RT for updates!… pic.twitter.com/AYrlBxyKVE
— JD 🇵🇭 (@jaydee_757) December 12, 2025
Yet current trading conditions differ from the 2017 environment. Liquidity is deeper, regulation is stricter, and institutional flows shape volatility. These changes may influence the speed and magnitude of any future rally.
Market Structure and the 21-Month EMA
The 21-month EMA is one of XRP’s most influential long-term indicators. Analysts often treat it as the boundary between strength and weakness. XRP is now testing this level after several weeks of selling pressure.
If buyers defend the region, sentiment may shift in XRP’s favor. Failure to hold it could introduce another extended correction. The EMA test, therefore, carries strong psychological weight for market participants.
JD’s Projection for Q1 2026
JD expects a dramatic move if the trendline holds through the next twenty days. His projection points toward a possible return to all-time highs in Q1 2026. He cites repeating cycle behavior and consistent chart structure as support.
We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1
— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025
Yet he also issues a caution. He warns that a sharp reversal could follow a new all-time high. He refers to this risk as a “rug pull crash.” The warning reflects past patterns where aggressive rallies ended with sudden breakdowns.
Potential Risks Behind the Bullish Scenario
A successful defense of the 21-month EMA does not guarantee a rally. The market must also produce stronger volume and a cleaner structure. Global conditions must remain supportive.
Macro tensions can disrupt even the best technical setups. Analysts also note that aggressive leverage often appears near major breakouts. Such leverage can magnify both gains and losses. This explains fears of a sudden reversal after a new high.
In conclusion, XRP stands at a pivotal moment on its long-term chart. The next twenty days may decide its direction for months. JD’s analysis offers a bold but structured outlook. He outlines a path to all-time highs in Q1 2026. He also warns of a possible crash once euphoria peaks.
Traders should track the 21-month EMA with caution and discipline. The signal could determine whether XRP enters a new phase of strength or another period of decline.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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