A striking new analysis from well-known crypto strategist EGRAG Crypto has caught the attention of the XRP community, warning of a potential 75% correction in XRP’s price based on repeating historical patterns. In a recent X post, EGRAG laid out the technical and cyclical factors behind this bold forecast, referencing a previous analysis that highlighted both astrological timing and chart-based signals pointing toward a significant downturn.
This was one of my thesis 75% crash, Check the full post: https://t.co/S5C942FvC9 pic.twitter.com/oxfHAuvA7y
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) April 7, 2025
The March 10 Deadline
EGRAG’s earlier post set the tone for what has now evolved into a deeper thesis. He emphasized that for XRP to escape a catastrophic downturn, it needed to close above $4 before March 10, citing the March 14 lunar eclipse as a critical temporal marker. According to his theory, lunar eclipses have historically aligned with market crashes, acting as a timing signal for significant corrections.
EGRAG projected that if XRP managed to break this $4 barrier ahead of the eclipse, it could launch toward a bullish target of $13 to $15. But failing to do so, he warned, would activate a bearish setup that has historically preceded major price declines for the asset.
Fork C and the 75% Crash Thesis
At the core of EGRAG’s forecast lies a distinctive technical structure he refers to as “Fork C.” This chart formation, when reached, has historically triggered massive selloffs in XRP. His post detailed a series of previous declines — each marked by a purple circle — where XRP experienced sharp retracements:
Purple Circle I: 89.58% drop
Purple Circle II: 68.97% drop
Purple Circle III: 64.34% drop
Purple Circle IV: 73.39% drop
Taking the average of these corrections, EGRAG estimates a typical crash magnitude of 74% once XRP touches Fork C. He argues that the price action is not random but part of a repeating cyclical pattern, and if the same setup plays out again, the current market structure puts XRP on a collision course with another deep retracement.
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A Retest, Not a Collapse?
Despite the alarming nature of a 75% pullback, EGRAG offers a nuanced perspective. He suggests that such a decline would not spell doom for XRP but could serve as a retest of the lower boundary of the asset’s long-term ascending triangle pattern. In other words, the crash may function as a reset — painful but necessary — that sets the foundation for a future breakout to much higher price levels.
A Cycle of Pain Before Growth?
EGRAG’s warning is timely given XRP’s recent failure to breach key resistance levels. As of early April 2025, the asset has hovered near crucial support and resistance zones, while broader market volatility continues to challenge investor sentiment. His analysis presents a sobering case for caution, urging market participants to consider long-term structures and repeat signals rather than chase short-term hype.
Whether or not the dramatic decline materializes, the post underscores the importance of understanding historical price behavior and aligning expectations accordingly. For those closely following XRP, the months ahead could determine whether the asset can finally escape its range-bound prison — or repeat yet another painful chapter in its volatile history.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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