Crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO has released an updated technical assessment of XRP, arguing that the recent breakdown below the 33-period exponential moving average on the monthly chart does not indicate the end of the current market structure.
In a detailed post accompanied by annotated charts, the analyst emphasized that recent price action aligns with historical liquidity behavior rather than a confirmed bearish reversal.
According to EGRAG CRYPTO, XRP recently tested the confluence of the central trend line and the 33 EMA in the $1.60 to $1.61 range on the monthly timeframe. While price briefly dipped to $1.50 during the move, the candle ultimately closed above $1.60.
The analyst highlighted that this close was followed by a liquidity sweep near $1.64 and the opening of February trading around $1.66, which he considers a key technical development.
#XRP – 33 EMA Breakdown ≠ Game Over (UPDATE):
🏳️On the monthly chart, #XRP just tagged the Central Line + 33 EMA around $1.60–$1.61 ( The Dip was to $1.50)
🏳️It held the close above $1.60, swept liquidity near $1.64, and opened February at $1.66.
🏳️Why this This matter???… https://t.co/P56R5P3xr0 pic.twitter.com/CvJstLiCwG
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) February 1, 2026
Monthly Structure and the First Liquidity Event
EGRAG CRYPTO described this move as the completion of what he labels Liquidity Grab #1. In his explanation, price action wicked into the confluence zone of the central line and the 33 EMA, an area that has historically acted as a reaction point for XRP during previous cycles. He noted that similar interactions in the past preceded periods of expansion rather than prolonged downside.
The analyst explained that, from this position, historical behavior suggests two dominant scenarios. One possibility is a relief bounce followed by a second liquidity sweep, after which a broader expansion phase begins. The alternative scenario involves a more direct expansion, consistent with what EGRAG CRYPTO referred to as a cycle fractal observed in earlier market phases.
Historical Cycles and Expansion Projections
In outlining the expansion scenario, EGRAG CRYPTO referenced XRP’s performance in prior cycles. He pointed to the 2021 cycle, which delivered a gain of approximately 340%, and the 2017 cycle, which saw 1,600% increase from comparable structural setups.
Applying those historical percentages to the current structure produces projected price zones near $7 under the lower expansion model and as high as $27 under the more aggressive historical comparison.
However, the analyst stressed that targets come only after structure and moving average behavior have been confirmed, reinforcing that projections are contingent on market follow-through rather than assumptions.
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Confirmation of a Second Liquidity Sweep
EGRAG CRYPTO also stated that Liquidity Grab #2 is now confirmed and active. He explained that while price experienced a relief bounce, it did not secure a monthly close above $2.40. This failure, in his view, validates the second liquidity sweep and suggests that XRP is currently building the structural base required for a sustained expansion phase.
Summarizing his outlook, EGRAG CRYPTO emphasized that the same structural setup, EMA interaction, and central line reaction seen in prior cycles are present again.
He added that if the market has only completed the first liquidity grab, then the primary expansion phase may still be ahead. He concluded by reiterating his analytical sequence: structure first, EMA confirmation second, and price targets last.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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