Cryptocurrency markets rarely offer clear signals, but when they do, traders listen. Over the weekend, a prominent technical evaluation of XRP’s price structure has ignited concern among investors focused on trend dynamics and momentum.
This warning emphasized the importance of understanding how key indicators are interacting as price action unfolds — and why some traders are bracing for further downside.
In a video analysis shared on X, STEPH IS CRYPTO, a well‑known market analyst, spotlighted a pivotal development on XRP’s weekly chart that demands attention. Steph explained that XRP has recently slipped below its weekly exponential moving average (EMA) ribbon — a collection of moving averages that many traders use as a barometer of trend strength.
A confirmed break below this set of averages often signals a shift in control from buyers to sellers, raising the probability of extended bearish pressure.
🚨 $XRP WARNING! pic.twitter.com/p00Aa1adJO
— STEPH IS CRYPTO (@Steph_iscrypto) January 26, 2026
Weekly EMA Breakdown and Historical Precedent
Steph’s analysis centered on the weekly EMA ribbon, an area where price historically finds support during bullish regimes and resistance during bearish phases. When price trades above this ribbon, upward momentum tends to dominate; conversely, extended breaks below it have coincided with marked declines in prior cycles.
Notable breakdowns in 2014, 2015, 2018, and 2022 all preceded periods of significant weakness in XRP’s multi‑year price structure. These historical parallels fuel concern that the current break could herald a continuation of bearish trends unless buyers reclaim this level soon.
Market data corroborates the technical fragility: XRP’s price recently dipped below $1.90 and continues to hover near critical support levels, while momentum indicators remain skewed toward sellers.
Technical reports highlight that price trading beneath key moving averages has reinforced selling pressure, and a sustained inability to break above these thresholds could expose lower support zones near the $1.80 range.
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Mixed Signals Across Technical Indicators
Despite the bearish backdrop, markets rarely move in straight lines. Analysts note that while the weekly structure leans negative, other indicators suggest the potential for stabilization or even reversal if key levels hold.
For instance, RSI divergence and cycle timing factors indicate that downside momentum may be slowing near the broader demand zone between roughly $1.85 and $2.21 — a range that has served as a launch point for past rallies.
Furthermore, there is historical precedent in recent years for brief excursions below major moving averages that resolved into strong rallies. In 2024–2025, XRP found support after periods beneath structural EMAs and produced sharp rebounds, underscoring the nuanced nature of technical patterns.
What Traders Should Watch Next
For traders, the immediate focus centers on weekly closes relative to the EMA ribbon and key psychological levels near $2.00. A decisive reclaim of the EMA ribbon on sustained volume could shift sentiment and signal the end of the current bearish phase. Conversely, continued weakness below these thresholds might intensify selling pressure and open the door for deeper corrective moves.
In the interim, market participants should integrate broader technical context with evolving price action, recognizing that while the current setup leans bearish, alternative scenarios remain viable if structural support holds and momentum indicators turn.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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