XRP is sitting at a level that has defined its market structure for over a year. According to crypto analyst ChartNerd (@ChartNerdTA), the asset is trading within a zone that can support a bullish move, provided key weekly closes hold.
XRP has struggled recently, and in a recent video, the analyst emphasized that the market has not yet confirmed either direction. XRP remains above long-standing support, but time is now a factor.
Short-term weakness has increased pressure on that level, forcing traders to wait for clear signals rather than anticipate outcomes.
🛡 $XRP: All still hangs in the balance. Lose support? We build a massive spring. Hold support? The 13 month defence guard wins again 🏆. The simple answer? WAIT for confirmation. Let the structure unfold before getting any knickers in a twist 😊 #NFA pic.twitter.com/PgDUQcbwyf
— 🇬🇧 ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) December 29, 2025
Weekly Closes Decide the Next Move
ChartNerd emphasized that the immediate focus is on weekly closes relative to multi-month support. That level sits around $1.93. At the time of his post, XRP traded near $1.85, leaving limited time for bulls to reclaim higher ground before the weekly close.
If XRP can secure a close above $1.93, ChartNerd believes it has a realistic chance of pushing higher. Failure to do so increases downside risk. He warned that “If we see consecutive closes below $1.93, then I think heading to $1.55 is more in my overall sort of outlook right now.”
Despite that risk, he made it clear that such a move would still represent a structural reset rather than a breakdown of the long-term trend.
Momentum Indicators Near Reset Levels
The analyst also addressed momentum indicators that often precede trend continuation. A move toward $1.55 would align with a full MACD reset on higher time frames. ChartNerd explained that this would complete the corrective process rather than invalidate the larger structure.
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He noted that the Stochastic RSI may remain oversold for a period before turning higher. That condition often appears near local or macro lows, particularly when the price holds historical support. He added that the Gaussian channel lower regression band sits below the current price, reinforcing the idea that a downside, if it occurs, may be limited and corrective.
Support Still Intact After 13 Months
ChartNerd repeatedly returned to one central point. Confirmation has not occurred. He stated, “There isn’t any confirmation yet,” and later reinforced that “this is still critical support.” XRP has traded around this zone for roughly 13 months, making it structurally important.
He described the current setup as being on a knife-edge. Outcomes now depend entirely on confirmation through closing prices rather than intraday moves. Until XRP closes decisively below $1.93 and $1.80, the support remains valid.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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