XRP has faced sustained pressure alongside the broader digital asset market, yet some analysts argue that its long-term structure remains intact. One of them is Egrag Crypto (@egragcrypto), who continues to rely on large-scale chart data rather than short-term volatility.
Despite recent weakness, his latest analysis is bullish. Using a linear regression channel, he suggests that XRP’s long-term price trajectory may still favor higher valuations. However, the asset must meet key technical conditions.
The Current Market Position
After delivering a notable performance in mid-2025, XRP’s momentum faded. The token recorded a strong advance in July 2025, rising by roughly 35% and briefly reclaiming the $3 level. That move, however, proved difficult to sustain. In August, XRP reversed sharply, declining by more than 8% and falling back below $3.
#XRP – Linear Regression (Log-scales) Targets 🎯 $3.4,$10, $27:
Using the long-term Logarithmic Linear Regression Channel (log scale), three major price levels stand out as of December 2025
1️⃣Mean Reversion → $3.40:
▫️A retest and rejection from $3.40 would be one of the… pic.twitter.com/3vIhXCCDRM— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) December 12, 2025
Although September brought a modest recovery of about 2.5%, the broader trend remained negative. From its July peak, XRP is now down close to 45%, with the asset changing hands around $2.02 as sellers attempt to turn the $2 area into resistance rather than support.
Long-Term Perspective From Regression Analysis
Egrag’s analysis focuses on XRP’s long-term structure using a linear regression channel on a logarithmic scale. The model tracks average price movement over time, with the central line reflecting long-term mean value. The upper and lower boundaries mark dynamic resistance and support across major market cycles.
Monthly chart data shows that XRP dropped below the lower boundary of this channel during the market disruption caused by the Terra collapse in May 2022. The asset remained outside the channel for an extended period. It moved back toward it during the broader recovery phase in late 2024, which also pushed prices back near $2.
XRP briefly re-entered the channel in December 2024 and January 2025. However, renewed selling pressure from February onward forced it back below the lower trendline.
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Key Price Zones Within the Regression Channel
The analyst outlines several key price levels based on XRP’s long-term regression structure. The first area sits near $3.4, aligning with the January 2025 high and the lower boundary of the channel.
He views this zone as a mean reversion area, where rejection would strengthen bearish signals, while a sustained close above it would suggest a shift back into bullish conditions.
The next level sits around $10, corresponding with the upper midline (+2 SD) of the channel and marking a phase of full trend expansion. At the top of the regression channel, the model points to a long-term target near $27, which Egrag Crypto believes is reinforced by multiple technical confluences if XRP reclaims the channel.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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