XRP has always drawn both mathematicians and dreamers. Each cycle, a fresh set of calculations emerges—some sensible, others soaked in hype.
In his recent X post titled “XRP – Math, Numbers & a Touch of Sarcasm”, analyst Egrag Crypto blended logic, pattern recognition, and humor to challenge the popular “diminishing returns” narrative surrounding XRP’s market cycles.
The 10% Theory – Scaling the Old Magic
Egrag began by analyzing XRP’s explosive 2017–2018 bull run using the Gaussian Channel on a two-week timeframe. He measured XRP’s historic performance, where the coin surged about 3,700% from cycle lows to highs.
Applying just 10% of that past move to the current market gives a more conservative projection. Based on his math, that could translate into a 2,440% final leg, with potential price targets between $5.50 and $6.00.
#XRP – Math, Numbers & a Touch of Sarcasm 🧮😎:
This post for those who think logically (well… kinda 😏) — a mix of numbers, patterns, and a dash of mockery toward a few “TA masters” out there 🥁😉
1️⃣ The 10% Theory:
▫️Based on the Gaussian Channel (2-week timeframe), I… pic.twitter.com/GkWlQdJZ6L— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) October 30, 2025
His approach avoids hype. Instead, it’s a statistical lens suggesting that XRP could still see significant upside without needing to repeat its past extremes.
The Diminishing Returns Debate
Many analysts claim XRP’s returns shrink with every cycle. Egrag poked fun at these “TA masters,” calling their logic outdated.
In 2021, XRP’s price climbed nearly 1,700% from its bottom, despite the SEC lawsuit that cast uncertainty over Ripple’s future. Some critics now predict only 1,200% growth this cycle, implying a top near $3.65.
Egrag disagrees. He argues that crypto’s current environment is exponential, not stagnant. With institutional adoption growing, he believes repeating the last cycle’s 1,700% surge is realistic, which again points toward $5+ for XRP.
We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1
— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025
The Diminishing Downside Theory
Egrag’s third insight focuses on drawdowns, or post-peak declines. In the first major cycle, XRP fell by 96% from its top. The next bear market saw a smaller 86% drop.
That 10% improvement hints at a maturing asset with decreasing downside risk. If that trend holds, the next major drawdown could be around 76%.
Using his projections, if XRP peaks between $5 and $6, the next cycle’s bottom may land around $1.20 to $1.40. Even a more modest top at $3.65 would still justify a bottom near $0.87, maintaining long-term strength.
The Bigger Picture
Egrag’s analysis may mix math with sarcasm, but it highlights real trends in XRP’s evolution. Each market cycle appears less volatile and more stable than the last. While no model guarantees success, the data-driven reasoning behind Egrag’s post offers valuable insight.
XRP’s long-term trajectory still depends on macro conditions, liquidity, and global adoption. Yet, the logic in these numbers gives holders a reason to watch the charts with renewed optimism—and maybe a smile.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook, Telegram, and Google News
