A leading market analyst has argued that XRP’s performance in the current cycle hinges on whether it can achieve a significant rally toward $22. According to EGRAG Crypto, the asset either advances to this level or has already completed its peak at $3.66, leaving no middle ground in his assessment.
XRP reached a cycle high of $3.66 in July before correcting to $2.69 on September 1. Since then, it has begun to rebound, recording a modest recovery of 5.57%. This bounce has renewed debates among market participants regarding whether the $3.66 level marked the ultimate top for the cycle or if further gains remain possible.
Diverging Views on the Cycle High
Some commentators have taken a conservative stance, suggesting that XRP has little room for growth beyond the July peak. For example, Crypto Rover recently estimated that Ethereum could climb to $9,500 within the next four months, while XRP might only advance to $4.8 in the same period. Such an outcome would represent a limited 57% increase from its price at the time of his prediction.
In contrast, EGRAG maintains a more aggressive outlook. In his most recent update, he reaffirmed that XRP’s ceiling lies far above $4.8, setting his projection at $22. However, he added that if the token fails to reach this level, then the July high of $3.66 should be considered the definitive top of the current cycle.
#XRP – Thread 🧵: $22 Is a Must or Cycle Top is Already In:
A Thread 🧵 You should not Miss:
1⃣ #XRP and 7 EMA 🧮
2⃣ Bear Market Bottom Rational 🔻
3⃣ Cycle Top: $22-$27🌟:
4⃣ Percentage Drop from Cycle Top:📉
5⃣ Defining Our Cycle Top based on Potential Drop🔵Explore the… pic.twitter.com/H4NyOdRQ7j
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) September 3, 2025
Historical Chart Analysis
To support his claim, EGRAG referenced a chart of XRP’s long-term performance, though full details remain available only to subscribers. The chart plots two curves, one marking cycle tops and another tracking cycle bottoms.
In Cycle 1, XRP reached $0.0614 in December 2013, aligning with the top curve. In Cycle 2, the token climbed to $3.31 in January 2018, again touching the upper curve and establishing the cycle’s high. Based on this model, the July 2025 peak of $3.66 appears to fall short of the top curve, suggesting that the asset may not have reached its true cycle high.
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EGRAG’s analysis indicates that the current top curve aligns with a price near $22, implying a potential gain of about 674% from the current value of $2.84. If the asset does not progress to this level, he contends that the $3.66 peak will be remembered as the maximum point of the cycle.
Not all market observers agree with EGRAG’s binary conclusion. Other analysts, such as Batman, argue that XRP has already shown signs of resilience by reclaiming support near $2.70 after a liquidity sweep. This, they suggest, could be the foundation for another upward move, even if the final target does not align with EGRAG’s $22 projection.
The debate underscores the uncertainty surrounding XRP’s path in the current market environment. While EGRAG’s framework points to either a major rally toward $22 or confirmation that $3.66 was the cycle’s peak, other analysts remain cautiously optimistic that further gains are possible without requiring such extreme outcomes. Ultimately, XRP’s next major price movement will determine which of these outlooks holds.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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