Crypto analyst EGRAG Crypto has presented a new outlook suggesting that XRP may still have significant upside potential in the current market cycle. Despite recent declines, his assessment suggests a potential rally toward $27, supported by both Fibonacci extensions and a long-term regression model.
XRP has experienced sharp swings in recent months. The asset reached a peak of $3.66 in July 2025, driven by the broader cryptocurrency market rally, but later fell below $3 as part of a general market correction.
While some investors have interpreted this downturn as the completion of the cycle, EGRAG Crypto argues that historical patterns and technical models say that XRP has reached its final high.
The “Blue X” Indicator and Previous Cycles
A central part of EGRAG’s analysis involves the “Blue X” signal generated by the Lux Algo indicator on XRP’s weekly chart. Historically, this marker has appeared before a major correction but not at the actual cycle peak.
For example, in May 2017, XRP printed the Blue X at $0.39, after which it corrected before rallying to $3.30 in January 2018. Similarly, in November 2020, the signal appeared at $0.79, but the asset later advanced to $1.96 by April 2021. In both cases, the Blue X was followed by a retracement and then a move to a higher top that occurred without the indicator appearing again.
Based on this pattern, EGRAG believes the current Blue X, recorded when XRP reached $3.40 in January 2025, may once again mark a local high rather than the cycle’s ultimate peak.
#XRP – The Blue 🔵 'X' and The Last Leg:
Today, I stumbled upon something interesting with the Lux Algo feature that could be quite indicative for our journey. Let Me Explain! 🕵️♂️
⚪️Back to Technical Analysis:
The BLUE 'X' typically signals a profit-taking opportunity. However,… pic.twitter.com/VguFMT7xMB— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) August 31, 2025
Regression Channel Analysis
Another key component of the projection comes from a long-term linear regression channel covering XRP’s price history since 2013. This model consists of a red median line and two blue bands positioned two standard deviations above and below the median. In both previous cycles, XRP advanced from the median line to the upper boundary before undergoing a substantial correction.
Presently, XRP is trading above the median line but well below the upper boundary. According to the model, the next test of the upper band could occur near $27 by October 13, 2025, which EGRAG identifies as the probable cycle top.
Fibonacci Targets
The regression channel projection aligns with Fibonacci extension levels derived from past cycles. In 2017, XRP’s peak corresponded to the 1.618–1.88 Fibonacci zone, while in 2021 the top occurred within the 2.414–2.618 range. Current calculations place the 2025 cycle target between $20.46 and $49.44, with the $27 projection falling squarely inside this corridor.
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From its current price of around $2.75, XRP would need to appreciate nearly 900% to achieve the $27 level. While EGRAG’s analysis suggests the possibility of such a move, he emphasizes the importance of risk management and encourages traders to secure profits at various stages of the rally.
Although uncertainty remains, the combination of regression channel patterns, Fibonacci levels, and historical behaviour of the Blue X indicator supports the view that XRP may still have one final upward leg before this market cycle concludes.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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