In his latest YouTube commentary, crypto analyst StephIsCrypto shared his perspective on the current state of the XRP market, highlighting both encouraging signs and potential risks. He began by pointing to on-chain data showing a significant accumulation of XRP by large holders.
Specifically, wallets containing between 10 million and 100 million XRP have been steadily increasing their positions over the past week. He described this as substantial investment activity, distinct from retail buying, and argued that historically such accumulation has preceded strong rallies.
Based on this data, he expressed optimism for further short-term upward price movement and indicated that he would provide clear price targets for XRP in the near term.
Market Cycles and Historical Patterns
StephIsCrypto then shifted his focus to broader market cycles, comparing XRP’s chart with Bitcoin’s halving cycle indicator. He noted that each previous bull market top in the cryptocurrency space has aligned with Bitcoin’s halving cycle windows, including the 2017–2018 and 2020–2021 rallies.
According to his analysis, the current cycle also falls within such a window, suggesting that the peak of this market could arrive between October and November 2025.
While acknowledging arguments that fundamentals such as utility, institutional adoption, and potential ETF approvals could change historical dynamics, he cautioned against dismissing market cycles. In his view, ignoring past data could be risky, as cryptocurrencies have consistently demonstrated cyclical behavior.
Indicators of Market Risk
The analyst also discussed signals that suggest caution may be warranted. He highlighted that more than 90 percent of XRP holders are currently in profit, which historically has preceded market tops.
He referenced the stochastic RSI indicator on the monthly chart, pointing out that in previous cycles it peaked ahead of the price, which then made a higher high while the indicator showed a lower high, forming a bearish divergence.
According to him, this pattern appeared in 2017 and 2020, both of which preceded major corrections. He suggested that a similar setup could now be forming, with the stochastic having peaked months ago while the price continues to climb.
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Price Targets and Timing
Turning to specific price expectations, StephIsCrypto stated that on the weekly timeframe, XRP has followed a clear five-wave structure to the upside. He argued that the structure may not be complete and that another push higher could still occur in the coming weeks.
He placed possible targets around $4 to $5, while emphasizing that reaching those levels would require close monitoring of indicators, on-chain metrics, and whale activity. He also noted that bearish divergence has already been confirmed on the MACD momentum indicator, which he believes signals that the market may be nearing a critical point.
He further observed that the duration of the current cycle already resembles previous XRP bull runs, which lasted between 365 and 396 days. With the ongoing rally now extending beyond 400 days, he suggested that the market could be approaching the timing typically associated with major cycle peaks.
While not declaring a definitive top, he underscored the importance of risk management, advising traders and investors to remain cautious of signs of a reversal.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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