XRP may be on the verge of a significant market shift, according to crypto analyst EGRAG, who believes the asset’s market capitalization could reach as high as $1.5 trillion. This projection stems from a technical chart pattern combined with historical market behavior, both of which he views as indicators of a potential breakout.
Technical Structure Signals Possible Upside
EGRAG’s thesis is rooted in a long-term technical analysis of XRP’s market capitalization chart. He initially identified a “W” pattern—a structure often interpreted as a bullish reversal—on the two-month timeframe back in late 2023. As of January 2025, he asserts that the pattern has now fully formed.
#XRP – Market Cap and The Math Behind It 🔢💸:
🟣As you know, I’m not a big fan of using Market Cap (MC) as a primary indicator in crypto — it often provides false indication and misleads beginners into thinking it’s the actual liquidity or value of a coin. 🚫📊
🟣That said, I… pic.twitter.com/Mbk56kj9O0
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) May 27, 2025
The development of this pattern began with XRP’s market cap falling from $128 billion in early 2018 to a low of $5 billion by March 2020. It then recovered to $89 billion in April 2021, marking the pattern’s first peak. The second trough came in June 2022 when market capitalization dipped to $13.88 billion before rebounding to $195 billion in January 2025. EGRAG believes that if the asset breaks above the neckline of this formation, a major upward movement could follow.
Forecasts Span $270 Billion to $1.5 Trillion in Market Cap
EGRAG offered two scenarios for where XRP’s market cap could head next, depending on the scale of analysis. On a standard (non-logarithmic) scale, his target is approximately $270 billion, which aligns with the Fibonacci 1.618 extension level. However, on a logarithmic scale, the projections become more aggressive, with estimates ranging from $450 billion up to $1.5 trillion.
This broader range is based in part on historical precedent. In the previous bullish cycle, XRP’s market cap rose by 242% between the Fib 1.0 and Fib 1.618 levels. Replicating this trend could see market capitalization climb from $195 billion to around $450 billion. Further extrapolation using a 600% increase places potential future valuations near $978 billion, with the upper bound set at $1.5 trillion.
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Potential Price Points Based on Market Cap Targets
EGRAG also provided corresponding XRP price estimates based on its circulating supply, which is currently around 58.68 billion tokens. If the market cap rises to $270 billion, the price of XRP would reach approximately $4.60. At $450 billion, the token could be valued at $7.66. Should the market cap expand to $978 billion, the price may hit $16.65. Finally, under the most bullish scenario of $1.5 trillion, XRP could be worth about $25.56 per token.
At the time of writing, the asset is trading at $2.36, giving it a market capitalization of roughly $135.3 billion.
Analyst Cautions Investors Despite Bullish Outlook
While optimistic about the asset’s prospects, EGRAG emphasized that market capitalization alone should not be used as the sole measure of value. He cautioned that while it can serve as a useful benchmark for long-term price expectations, it may also create misleading impressions about liquidity or intrinsic worth.
In closing, EGRAG advised investors to remain pragmatic, take profits where appropriate, and avoid overly speculative behavior, even when the technical outlook appears favorable.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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