A recent examination of XRP’s price trajectory, utilizing linear regression and standard deviation bands, has revealed significant growth potential for the digital asset.
Analyst and market commentator EGRAG has outlined several price targets for XRP, ranging from moderate to extreme increases, depending on how the market behaves in the coming months.
By applying linear regression to XRP’s price trends, EGRAG has provided insights that suggest the altcoin could rise to as high as $27 in the longer term. This analysis is based on historical price behavior and the current positioning of XRP within the standard deviation bands, which measure how much the price deviates from its long-term trendline.
XRP’s Current Market Position
According to EGRAG’s analysis, XRP is trading near the lower end of the -1 standard deviation band. This positioning indicates that XRP is oversold, and could lead to a price correction soon. In the context of linear regression, being near the lower standard deviation band often signals a potential price rebound toward the mean value.
The analyst identified a short-term price target of $1.85, marking the midpoint of the regression channel. A return to this level would indicate a significant price increase, providing a potential recovery opportunity for XRP after its recent decline.
Price Projections Based on Standard Deviation Bands
EGRAG’s analysis also highlights various price levels XRP could achieve as it moves through different standard deviation bands. The upper end of the +1 standard deviation band, which represents the boundary where the digital asset might be considered overbought, is set at $5.76. This price point could lead to selling pressure as XRP approaches the higher range of the regression channel.
Should XRP break past this upper boundary, as it did during the 2017 bull run, the altcoin could reach higher targets. In the coming months, the analyst projects that XRP may hit $2.4 as a new mean reversion target.
Over 12 months, XRP could climb to $3, with the upper standard deviation band potentially rising to $7.31. Furthermore, within a year, the price could hit $9.3, based on these calculations.
Potential for Price Overshooting
EGRAG’s analysis also considers the possibility of XRP overshooting the +1 standard deviation band, as occurred during its previous major bull run. The analyst proposes two models based on past market behavior that could see XRP’s price exceed current expectations.
The first model anticipates a 180% price overshoot beyond the upper band. Should this scenario materialize, XRP’s price could hit $16 in the shorter term. Projections for the next six months under this model suggest a price target of $21, with a possible 1-year target of $27.
A second, more conservative model predicts a 110% overshoot. This scenario shows XRP could initially rise to $12 before increasing to $26 over the next six months. Following this peak, the price may then correct to around $20 within a year.
EGRAG’s comprehensive analysis, based on linear regression and standard deviation bands, provides a roadmap for potential XRP price movements. The current oversold state of XRP places it in a position where a recovery toward the mean price seems probable in the short term.
If XRP follows historical trends, there is potential for significant price increases, with targets as high as $27 within the next year. However, much will depend on how the asset responds to evolving market conditions and whether it can repeat past performance by overshooting key price levels.
