XRP is sitting at a level that has preceded major price moves in previous cycles.
Crypto analyst Steph Is Crypto (@Steph_iscrypto) recently published an analysis comparing XRP’s current monthly chart position to those seen at the start of prior bull markets, arguing that “the next move for XRP is very obvious.”
The signal he focuses on is XRP’s proximity to the lower Bollinger Bands boundary on the monthly timeframe. In 2017, 2020, and 2024, the asset returned to this lower band before significant upside moves followed. XRP is near that same boundary now.
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What the Monthly Chart Shows
Steph walks through each instance on the monthly chart. In 2017, XRP touched the lower Bollinger Band before the next bull market began. The same occurred in 2020. Then in 2024, the asset returned to that boundary again before its explosive move at the end of the year. The 2022 cycle was the exception, though XRP still eventually moved higher.
The lower boundary of the monthly Bollinger Bands currently sits at roughly $0.90. That level represents the worst-case scenario in Steph’s analysis, suggesting a potential wick lower before any sustained reversal.
The Daily Chart and What Needs to Happen
Steph identifies $1.30 as the key level to watch on the daily timeframe. He notes that this range acted as heavy resistance from February 2026. When XRP lost it as support, two consecutive flushes to the downside followed.
For him, reclaiming $1.30 is the confirmation that the bottom is in. “If we do that, that will be a major sign of strength for XRP, and then yes, I think the bottom is then in.”
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Bullish Divergence on the RSI
The daily RSI is also showing a pattern worth noting. Price has made lower lows, but the RSI has made a higher low. Steph identifies this as a clear bullish divergence, which suggests a reversal could already be underway.
He does not rule out a further drop to $0.90 first. That possibility exists as long as XRP holds below $1.30. But the divergence on the RSI opens the door to a recovery before that level is tested.
Two Scenarios to Watch
A close back above $1.30 signals strength and shifts the outlook toward a new bull market. Failure to reclaim that level keeps $0.90 in play as a downside target, consistent with the wick behavior seen at Bollinger Band lows in every prior bear market cycle. The bull market support band also aligns with $1.30, adding further significance to that price range.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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