Short-term volatility continues to dominate crypto market sentiment, but experienced analysts often look beyond daily price swings to identify stronger, more reliable trends. In the case of XRP, a broader technical structure has begun to stand out, offering a clearer view of where the asset may be headed over the long term.
Crypto analyst Matt Hughes brought this perspective into focus by examining XRP through a higher timeframe lens. Rather than relying on short-term indicators, he turned to a macro chart setup that has historically defined the asset’s most significant market phases.
The Power of the 20SMA on Higher Timeframes
Hughes based his analysis on the 20-period simple moving average (20SMA) applied to the two-month chart. This long-range view filters out noise and highlights the dominant trend. In technical analysis, traders widely regard higher timeframe signals as more reliable because they reflect sustained market behavior rather than temporary fluctuations.
If you want to see the clear, well-defined macro trend for $XRP, zoom out to the 2-month chart and throw on the 20SMA.
History shows it’s that simple:
✅ Above the 20SMA = bullish momentum, room to run higher❌ Below it = potentially long, painful consolidation before the next… pic.twitter.com/OJUdF1UPqb
— The Great Mattsby (@matthughes13) April 13, 2026
Historical data shows that XRP tends to enter bullish phases when it trades above this moving average. Momentum builds gradually in such conditions, often leading to extended upward cycles. When the price falls below the 20SMA, the market typically shifts into consolidation, sometimes lasting for months before the next breakout attempt.
A Confirmed Shift in Market Structure
Hughes noted that XRP has remained above the 20SMA since November 2024, signaling a significant structural shift. This sustained positioning indicates that the market has transitioned from a reactive phase into a more stable and constructive trend.
This development also confirms a classic resistance-to-support flip. A level that once capped price advances now acts as a foundation for continued growth. This shift reflects changing market psychology, where buyers step in at levels that previously attracted sellers.
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Historical Patterns Reinforce the Bullish Case
XRP’s historical price behavior supports Hughes’ thesis. Previous cycles show that extended periods above key moving averages often align with strong upward trends. These moves typically unfold over longer time horizons, rewarding patience rather than short-term speculation.
Conversely, breakdowns below such indicators have historically triggered prolonged sideways movement. This pattern reinforces the importance of the 20SMA as a macro signal rather than a short-term trading tool.
Macro Trend Remains Intact
The current setup suggests that XRP maintains a healthy macro trend despite intermittent volatility. As long as the price holds above this key level, the broader structure favors continuation rather than reversal.
Hughes’ analysis underscores a crucial lesson for market participants: meaningful trends emerge more clearly when viewed from a distance. For XRP, the ability to sustain this structure may determine whether the next major upward phase unfolds in the months ahead.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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